The open seat created by Democratic Rep. Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field for Minnesota’s 2nd District, yet the race remains strongly positioned for the eventual Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and holds “Likely Democratic” ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent performance in recent presidential and House elections. Recent straw polls and early fundraising show frontrunners Matt Little and Matt Klein building momentum ahead of the August 11 primary, while Republican candidates including state Sen. Eric Pratt face a narrower path in the same contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and historical results for open seats in comparable terrain.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
40%
Democratic Party
57%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$0 거래량
40%
Democratic Party
$111 거래량
57%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Democratic Rep. Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field for Minnesota’s 2nd District, yet the race remains strongly positioned for the eventual Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and holds “Likely Democratic” ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent performance in recent presidential and House elections. Recent straw polls and early fundraising show frontrunners Matt Little and Matt Klein building momentum ahead of the August 11 primary, while Republican candidates including state Sen. Eric Pratt face a narrower path in the same contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and historical results for open seats in comparable terrain.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
거래량
$111종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Democratic Rep. Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field for Minnesota’s 2nd District, yet the race remains strongly positioned for the eventual Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and holds “Likely Democratic” ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent performance in recent presidential and House elections. Recent straw polls and early fundraising show frontrunners Matt Little and Matt Klein building momentum ahead of the August 11 primary, while Republican candidates including state Sen. Eric Pratt face a narrower path in the same contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and historical results for open seats in comparable terrain.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$111종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Democratic Rep. Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate has drawn a competitive Democratic primary field for Minnesota’s 2nd District, yet the race remains strongly positioned for the eventual Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and holds “Likely Democratic” ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent performance in recent presidential and House elections. Recent straw polls and early fundraising show frontrunners Matt Little and Matt Klein building momentum ahead of the August 11 primary, while Republican candidates including state Sen. Eric Pratt face a narrower path in the same contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan lean and historical results for open seats in comparable terrain.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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