The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created when incumbent Angie Craig opted against re-election to pursue a Senate campaign, has given Republicans a modest opening, yet the district’s D+3 partisan voting index continues to anchor strong Democratic positioning. Multiple experienced candidates are competing in the August Democratic primary, including state legislators and local officials who benefit from established fundraising and organizational infrastructure. On the Republican side, state Senator Eric Pratt and Jeremy Westby are advancing, but historical voting patterns and the absence of a high-profile national tailwind limit their prospects. These structural factors explain the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee heading into the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
10%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$99 거래량
74%
Republican Party
$0 거래량
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created when incumbent Angie Craig opted against re-election to pursue a Senate campaign, has given Republicans a modest opening, yet the district’s D+3 partisan voting index continues to anchor strong Democratic positioning. Multiple experienced candidates are competing in the August Democratic primary, including state legislators and local officials who benefit from established fundraising and organizational infrastructure. On the Republican side, state Senator Eric Pratt and Jeremy Westby are advancing, but historical voting patterns and the absence of a high-profile national tailwind limit their prospects. These structural factors explain the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
거래량
$99종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created when incumbent Angie Craig opted against re-election to pursue a Senate campaign, has given Republicans a modest opening, yet the district’s D+3 partisan voting index continues to anchor strong Democratic positioning. Multiple experienced candidates are competing in the August Democratic primary, including state legislators and local officials who benefit from established fundraising and organizational infrastructure. On the Republican side, state Senator Eric Pratt and Jeremy Westby are advancing, but historical voting patterns and the absence of a high-profile national tailwind limit their prospects. These structural factors explain the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$99종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created when incumbent Angie Craig opted against re-election to pursue a Senate campaign, has given Republicans a modest opening, yet the district’s D+3 partisan voting index continues to anchor strong Democratic positioning. Multiple experienced candidates are competing in the August Democratic primary, including state legislators and local officials who benefit from established fundraising and organizational infrastructure. On the Republican side, state Senator Eric Pratt and Jeremy Westby are advancing, but historical voting patterns and the absence of a high-profile national tailwind limit their prospects. These structural factors explain the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee heading into the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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