Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% implied probability for a perfect game in the 2026 MLB season, reflecting the feat's extreme rarity—only 24 in over 150 years amid thousands of starts—and modern bullpen management that rarely allows starters to chase complete games. Despite strong early-season pitching like Parker Messick's no-hitter into the ninth inning for the Guardians on April 17 versus Baltimore (nine strikeouts, standing ovation but broken up by Leody Taveras), no bids have reached perfection due to walks, errors, or hit-by-pitches. Following 2025's zero no-hitters, shift bans boosting BABIP, and new ABS challenges add layers of difficulty, keeping upside realistic but odds firmly favoring none all year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% implied probability for a perfect game in the 2026 MLB season, reflecting the feat's extreme rarity—only 24 in over 150 years amid thousands of starts—and modern bullpen management that rarely allows starters to chase complete games. Despite strong early-season pitching like Parker Messick's no-hitter into the ninth inning for the Guardians on April 17 versus Baltimore (nine strikeouts, standing ovation but broken up by Leody Taveras), no bids have reached perfection due to walks, errors, or hit-by-pitches. Following 2025's zero no-hitters, shift bans boosting BABIP, and new ABS challenges add layers of difficulty, keeping upside realistic but odds firmly favoring none all year.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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