Kyle Schwarber's league-leading pace of 20 home runs through late May anchors the current trader consensus, reflecting his strong early-season power surge and first-to-20 milestone. Aaron Judge remains within striking distance at 16 homers thanks to his proven track record of sustained production and high walk rates that sustain plate appearances. Munetaka Murakami's 17 long balls add pressure from an emerging contender, while Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson trail with solid but slower starts. The bunched probabilities highlight the tight early-season dynamics, where small edges in recent form, health, and matchup volume can shift the race among established sluggers and rising threats over the remaining schedule.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Kyle Schwarber 38%
Aaron Judge 32%
Munetaka Murakami 16%
Yordan Alvarez 3.5%
$16,672 거래량
$16,672 거래량
2026.10.11
Kyle Schwarber
38%
Aaron Judge
32%
Munetaka Murakami
17%
Yordan Alvarez
3%
James Wood
3%
Matt Olson
2%
Junior Caminero
1%
Shohei Ohtani
1%
Manny Machado
1%
Shea Langeliers
1%
Brandon Lowe
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Jordan Walker
1%
Elly De La Cruz
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
CJ Abrams
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
Ben Rice
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 38%
Aaron Judge 32%
Munetaka Murakami 16%
Yordan Alvarez 3.5%
$16,672 거래량
$16,672 거래량
2026.10.11
Kyle Schwarber
$4,499 거래량
38%
Aaron Judge
$2,015 거래량
32%
Munetaka Murakami
$5,033 거래량
17%
Yordan Alvarez
$649 거래량
3%
James Wood
$249 거래량
3%
Matt Olson
$1,024 거래량
2%
Junior Caminero
$151 거래량
1%
Shohei Ohtani
$380 거래량
1%
Manny Machado
$170 거래량
1%
Shea Langeliers
$316 거래량
1%
Brandon Lowe
$157 거래량
1%
Cal Raleigh
$120 거래량
1%
Jordan Walker
$120 거래량
1%
Elly De La Cruz
$276 거래량
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$120 거래량
1%
Eugenio Suarez
$120 거래량
1%
Nick Kurtz
$152 거래량
1%
Mike Trout
$120 거래량
1%
Juan Soto
$120 거래량
1%
Rafael Devers
$120 거래량
1%
CJ Abrams
$162 거래량
1%
Pete Alonso
$120 거래량
1%
Ben Rice
$175 거래량
<1%
Sal Stewart
$162 거래량
<1%
George Springer
$147 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's league-leading pace of 20 home runs through late May anchors the current trader consensus, reflecting his strong early-season power surge and first-to-20 milestone. Aaron Judge remains within striking distance at 16 homers thanks to his proven track record of sustained production and high walk rates that sustain plate appearances. Munetaka Murakami's 17 long balls add pressure from an emerging contender, while Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson trail with solid but slower starts. The bunched probabilities highlight the tight early-season dynamics, where small edges in recent form, health, and matchup volume can shift the race among established sluggers and rising threats over the remaining schedule.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
거래량
$16,672종료일
2026.09.28마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's league-leading pace of 20 home runs through late May anchors the current trader consensus, reflecting his strong early-season power surge and first-to-20 milestone. Aaron Judge remains within striking distance at 16 homers thanks to his proven track record of sustained production and high walk rates that sustain plate appearances. Munetaka Murakami's 17 long balls add pressure from an emerging contender, while Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson trail with solid but slower starts. The bunched probabilities highlight the tight early-season dynamics, where small edges in recent form, health, and matchup volume can shift the race among established sluggers and rising threats over the remaining schedule.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$16,672종료일
2026.09.28마켓 개설일
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber's league-leading pace of 20 home runs through late May anchors the current trader consensus, reflecting his strong early-season power surge and first-to-20 milestone. Aaron Judge remains within striking distance at 16 homers thanks to his proven track record of sustained production and high walk rates that sustain plate appearances. Munetaka Murakami's 17 long balls add pressure from an emerging contender, while Yordan Alvarez and Matt Olson trail with solid but slower starts. The bunched probabilities highlight the tight early-season dynamics, where small edges in recent form, health, and matchup volume can shift the race among established sluggers and rising threats over the remaining schedule.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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