The Michigan 12th congressional district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent strong performance in recent presidential elections, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib holds a clear advantage heading into the August 4 primary and November general election, with no major recent developments altering the district's partisan makeup or introducing competitive Republican challengers. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where similar safe seats rarely flip absent extraordinary circumstances. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen primary upset, a late-breaking scandal affecting the frontrunner, or a broader national electoral wave that overrides local fundamentals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$28,835 거래량
$28,835 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
93%
공화당
5%
$28,835 거래량
$28,835 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$17,660 거래량
93%
공화당
$11,175 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 12th congressional district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent strong performance in recent presidential elections, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib holds a clear advantage heading into the August 4 primary and November general election, with no major recent developments altering the district's partisan makeup or introducing competitive Republican challengers. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where similar safe seats rarely flip absent extraordinary circumstances. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen primary upset, a late-breaking scandal affecting the frontrunner, or a broader national electoral wave that overrides local fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$28,835종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 12th congressional district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent strong performance in recent presidential elections, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib holds a clear advantage heading into the August 4 primary and November general election, with no major recent developments altering the district's partisan makeup or introducing competitive Republican challengers. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where similar safe seats rarely flip absent extraordinary circumstances. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen primary upset, a late-breaking scandal affecting the frontrunner, or a broader national electoral wave that overrides local fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$28,835종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan 12th congressional district's deep Democratic lean, reflected in its Partisan Voter Index of D+21 and consistent strong performance in recent presidential elections, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Rashida Tlaib holds a clear advantage heading into the August 4 primary and November general election, with no major recent developments altering the district's partisan makeup or introducing competitive Republican challengers. This positioning aligns with historical patterns where similar safe seats rarely flip absent extraordinary circumstances. Potential shifts could stem from an unforeseen primary upset, a late-breaking scandal affecting the frontrunner, or a broader national electoral wave that overrides local fundamentals.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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