Republican incumbent Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan's 9th congressional district heading into the 2026 election, backed by the area's consistent Republican lean, her 66.8% victory in 2024, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. The district covers The Thumb region and northern Detroit suburbs with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Primaries are scheduled for August and the general election for November, with limited Democratic opposition emerging so far. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift against Republicans, a primary challenge that weakens the incumbent, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health issue affecting the candidate.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,808 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$364 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan's 9th congressional district heading into the 2026 election, backed by the area's consistent Republican lean, her 66.8% victory in 2024, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. The district covers The Thumb region and northern Detroit suburbs with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Primaries are scheduled for August and the general election for November, with limited Democratic opposition emerging so far. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift against Republicans, a primary challenge that weakens the incumbent, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health issue affecting the candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$9,172종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan's 9th congressional district heading into the 2026 election, backed by the area's consistent Republican lean, her 66.8% victory in 2024, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. The district covers The Thumb region and northern Detroit suburbs with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Primaries are scheduled for August and the general election for November, with limited Democratic opposition emerging so far. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift against Republicans, a primary challenge that weakens the incumbent, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health issue affecting the candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,172종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan's 9th congressional district heading into the 2026 election, backed by the area's consistent Republican lean, her 66.8% victory in 2024, and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. The district covers The Thumb region and northern Detroit suburbs with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Primaries are scheduled for August and the general election for November, with limited Democratic opposition emerging so far. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift against Republicans, a primary challenge that weakens the incumbent, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health issue affecting the candidate.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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