Michigan's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16, the most Republican-leaning seat in the state. Incumbent Representative Lisa McClain, who won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin, faces limited primary opposition and no Democratic challenger positioned to close the structural gap ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and the district's demographic profile across Huron, Lapeer, St. Clair, and portions of Macomb and Oakland counties. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. A national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unexpected redistricting shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,899 거래량
91%
Democratic Party
$364 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16, the most Republican-leaning seat in the state. Incumbent Representative Lisa McClain, who won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin, faces limited primary opposition and no Democratic challenger positioned to close the structural gap ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and the district's demographic profile across Huron, Lapeer, St. Clair, and portions of Macomb and Oakland counties. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. A national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unexpected redistricting shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$9,263종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16, the most Republican-leaning seat in the state. Incumbent Representative Lisa McClain, who won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin, faces limited primary opposition and no Democratic challenger positioned to close the structural gap ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and the district's demographic profile across Huron, Lapeer, St. Clair, and portions of Macomb and Oakland counties. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. A national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unexpected redistricting shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$9,263종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+16, the most Republican-leaning seat in the state. Incumbent Representative Lisa McClain, who won re-election in 2024 by a wide margin, faces limited primary opposition and no Democratic challenger positioned to close the structural gap ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Republican, consistent with historical voting patterns and the district's demographic profile across Huron, Lapeer, St. Clair, and portions of Macomb and Oakland counties. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. A national Democratic surge, major scandal, or unexpected redistricting shift would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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