The Michigan 4th congressional district race stays closely contested as Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga seeks another term against Democratic primary contenders including Sean McCann. The district's R+3 partisan voter index and recent March 2026 polling showing Huizenga leading by margins of 2 to 6 points sustain trader consensus around a narrow Republican edge. Key dynamics include the open Democratic primary on August 4, national midterm headwinds for the president's party, and voter sentiment on economic and federal policy issues. Outcomes could shift with primary results, candidate fundraising reports, or late-cycle polling trends that clarify turnout among swing voters in this battleground seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
43%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$336 거래량
63%
Democratic Party
$511 거래량
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 4th congressional district race stays closely contested as Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga seeks another term against Democratic primary contenders including Sean McCann. The district's R+3 partisan voter index and recent March 2026 polling showing Huizenga leading by margins of 2 to 6 points sustain trader consensus around a narrow Republican edge. Key dynamics include the open Democratic primary on August 4, national midterm headwinds for the president's party, and voter sentiment on economic and federal policy issues. Outcomes could shift with primary results, candidate fundraising reports, or late-cycle polling trends that clarify turnout among swing voters in this battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$847종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Michigan 4th congressional district race stays closely contested as Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga seeks another term against Democratic primary contenders including Sean McCann. The district's R+3 partisan voter index and recent March 2026 polling showing Huizenga leading by margins of 2 to 6 points sustain trader consensus around a narrow Republican edge. Key dynamics include the open Democratic primary on August 4, national midterm headwinds for the president's party, and voter sentiment on economic and federal policy issues. Outcomes could shift with primary results, candidate fundraising reports, or late-cycle polling trends that clarify turnout among swing voters in this battleground seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$847종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Michigan 4th congressional district race stays closely contested as Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga seeks another term against Democratic primary contenders including Sean McCann. The district's R+3 partisan voter index and recent March 2026 polling showing Huizenga leading by margins of 2 to 6 points sustain trader consensus around a narrow Republican edge. Key dynamics include the open Democratic primary on August 4, national midterm headwinds for the president's party, and voter sentiment on economic and federal policy issues. Outcomes could shift with primary results, candidate fundraising reports, or late-cycle polling trends that clarify turnout among swing voters in this battleground seat.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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