Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga holds an edge in Michigan's 4th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's R+3 Partisan Voter Index and his established record since 2011. Recent polling from March 2026 showed Huizenga leading Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann by six points among likely voters, consistent with earlier surveys indicating a narrow Republican advantage. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Likely or Lean Republican. McCann's strong Q1 2026 fundraising and endorsement from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer have drawn national Democratic attention to the contest, narrowing the gap from historical margins, though primary contests on August 4 remain ahead for both parties.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
59%
Democratic Party
39%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$344 거래량
59%
Democratic Party
$511 거래량
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga holds an edge in Michigan's 4th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's R+3 Partisan Voter Index and his established record since 2011. Recent polling from March 2026 showed Huizenga leading Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann by six points among likely voters, consistent with earlier surveys indicating a narrow Republican advantage. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Likely or Lean Republican. McCann's strong Q1 2026 fundraising and endorsement from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer have drawn national Democratic attention to the contest, narrowing the gap from historical margins, though primary contests on August 4 remain ahead for both parties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$855종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga holds an edge in Michigan's 4th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's R+3 Partisan Voter Index and his established record since 2011. Recent polling from March 2026 showed Huizenga leading Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann by six points among likely voters, consistent with earlier surveys indicating a narrow Republican advantage. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Likely or Lean Republican. McCann's strong Q1 2026 fundraising and endorsement from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer have drawn national Democratic attention to the contest, narrowing the gap from historical margins, though primary contests on August 4 remain ahead for both parties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$855종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bill Huizenga holds an edge in Michigan's 4th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's R+3 Partisan Voter Index and his established record since 2011. Recent polling from March 2026 showed Huizenga leading Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann by six points among likely voters, consistent with earlier surveys indicating a narrow Republican advantage. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Likely or Lean Republican. McCann's strong Q1 2026 fundraising and endorsement from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer have drawn national Democratic attention to the contest, narrowing the gap from historical margins, though primary contests on August 4 remain ahead for both parties.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문