Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s reelection bid in Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, rated Likely or Lean Republican by major forecasters, underpins the Republican Party’s 51% trader consensus in the MI-04 House Election Winner market. The district’s R+3 partisan voter index and recent presidential voting patterns favor the GOP, while Huizenga’s long tenure since 2011 adds structural advantage. Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann’s inclusion in the DCCC Red to Blue program, endorsement by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, and early polling showing statistical ties or narrow Republican leads keep the Democratic Party at 36.5% by highlighting a credible challenge. August primaries and November general election timing leave room for shifts based on fundraising trends and national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
59%
Democratic Party
45%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Republican Party
$344 거래량
59%
Democratic Party
$511 거래량
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s reelection bid in Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, rated Likely or Lean Republican by major forecasters, underpins the Republican Party’s 51% trader consensus in the MI-04 House Election Winner market. The district’s R+3 partisan voter index and recent presidential voting patterns favor the GOP, while Huizenga’s long tenure since 2011 adds structural advantage. Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann’s inclusion in the DCCC Red to Blue program, endorsement by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, and early polling showing statistical ties or narrow Republican leads keep the Democratic Party at 36.5% by highlighting a credible challenge. August primaries and November general election timing leave room for shifts based on fundraising trends and national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
거래량
$855종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s reelection bid in Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, rated Likely or Lean Republican by major forecasters, underpins the Republican Party’s 51% trader consensus in the MI-04 House Election Winner market. The district’s R+3 partisan voter index and recent presidential voting patterns favor the GOP, while Huizenga’s long tenure since 2011 adds structural advantage. Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann’s inclusion in the DCCC Red to Blue program, endorsement by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, and early polling showing statistical ties or narrow Republican leads keep the Democratic Party at 36.5% by highlighting a credible challenge. August primaries and November general election timing leave room for shifts based on fundraising trends and national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$855종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s reelection bid in Michigan’s 4th Congressional District, rated Likely or Lean Republican by major forecasters, underpins the Republican Party’s 51% trader consensus in the MI-04 House Election Winner market. The district’s R+3 partisan voter index and recent presidential voting patterns favor the GOP, while Huizenga’s long tenure since 2011 adds structural advantage. Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann’s inclusion in the DCCC Red to Blue program, endorsement by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, and early polling showing statistical ties or narrow Republican leads keep the Democratic Party at 36.5% by highlighting a credible challenge. August primaries and November general election timing leave room for shifts based on fundraising trends and national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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