The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's deep Democratic lean and voting history continue to anchor trader consensus ahead of the 2026 House election. Incumbent Seth Moulton opted against re-election to pursue a Senate primary challenge, creating an open seat that has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders for the September 1 contest. A single Republican challenger has entered the race, yet the district's consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm dynamics, primary turnout surprises, or changes in voter sentiment on key issues like immigration and economic policy could still influence the November general election outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,688 거래량
$14,688 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$14,688 거래량
$14,688 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,785 거래량
96%
Republican Party
$7,903 거래량
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's deep Democratic lean and voting history continue to anchor trader consensus ahead of the 2026 House election. Incumbent Seth Moulton opted against re-election to pursue a Senate primary challenge, creating an open seat that has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders for the September 1 contest. A single Republican challenger has entered the race, yet the district's consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm dynamics, primary turnout surprises, or changes in voter sentiment on key issues like immigration and economic policy could still influence the November general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$14,688종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's deep Democratic lean and voting history continue to anchor trader consensus ahead of the 2026 House election. Incumbent Seth Moulton opted against re-election to pursue a Senate primary challenge, creating an open seat that has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders for the September 1 contest. A single Republican challenger has entered the race, yet the district's consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm dynamics, primary turnout surprises, or changes in voter sentiment on key issues like immigration and economic policy could still influence the November general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,688종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's deep Democratic lean and voting history continue to anchor trader consensus ahead of the 2026 House election. Incumbent Seth Moulton opted against re-election to pursue a Senate primary challenge, creating an open seat that has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders for the September 1 contest. A single Republican challenger has entered the race, yet the district's consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in prior cycles sustain the wide gap in implied probabilities. Late developments such as shifts in national midterm dynamics, primary turnout surprises, or changes in voter sentiment on key issues like immigration and economic policy could still influence the November general election outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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