The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Safe or Solid Democratic from major forecasters. Incumbent Lori Trahan secured reelection in 2024 with 97.5% of the vote, underscoring limited Republican viability in the general election. The upcoming September 1 Democratic primary features Trahan against challenger Gaige Clark, while the general election occurs November 3, 2026. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at these levels stems from the district's voting history and structural advantages for the majority party. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican candidate or significant national political realignment before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,606 거래량
$15,606 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$15,606 거래량
$15,606 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,812 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$8,794 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Safe or Solid Democratic from major forecasters. Incumbent Lori Trahan secured reelection in 2024 with 97.5% of the vote, underscoring limited Republican viability in the general election. The upcoming September 1 Democratic primary features Trahan against challenger Gaige Clark, while the general election occurs November 3, 2026. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at these levels stems from the district's voting history and structural advantages for the majority party. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican candidate or significant national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$15,606종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Safe or Solid Democratic from major forecasters. Incumbent Lori Trahan secured reelection in 2024 with 97.5% of the vote, underscoring limited Republican viability in the general election. The upcoming September 1 Democratic primary features Trahan against challenger Gaige Clark, while the general election occurs November 3, 2026. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at these levels stems from the district's voting history and structural advantages for the majority party. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican candidate or significant national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,606종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 3rd congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings of Safe or Solid Democratic from major forecasters. Incumbent Lori Trahan secured reelection in 2024 with 97.5% of the vote, underscoring limited Republican viability in the general election. The upcoming September 1 Democratic primary features Trahan against challenger Gaige Clark, while the general election occurs November 3, 2026. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at these levels stems from the district's voting history and structural advantages for the majority party. A shift would require an unusually strong Republican candidate or significant national political realignment before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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