The MA-03 seat features a Democratic incumbent in a district rated D+11 on the Partisan Voter Index, with all major forecasters classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Lori Trahan faces only a minor primary challenge on September 1, while Republican candidates have filed but lack significant fundraising or polling visibility. This partisan baseline, combined with Massachusetts' consistent Democratic performance in recent House cycles and the absence of competitive opposition or major campaign developments, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited scope for such shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$15,656 거래량
$15,656 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$15,656 거래량
$15,656 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,862 거래량
94%
Republican Party
$8,794 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The MA-03 seat features a Democratic incumbent in a district rated D+11 on the Partisan Voter Index, with all major forecasters classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Lori Trahan faces only a minor primary challenge on September 1, while Republican candidates have filed but lack significant fundraising or polling visibility. This partisan baseline, combined with Massachusetts' consistent Democratic performance in recent House cycles and the absence of competitive opposition or major campaign developments, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$15,656종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The MA-03 seat features a Democratic incumbent in a district rated D+11 on the Partisan Voter Index, with all major forecasters classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Lori Trahan faces only a minor primary challenge on September 1, while Republican candidates have filed but lack significant fundraising or polling visibility. This partisan baseline, combined with Massachusetts' consistent Democratic performance in recent House cycles and the absence of competitive opposition or major campaign developments, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$15,656종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The MA-03 seat features a Democratic incumbent in a district rated D+11 on the Partisan Voter Index, with all major forecasters classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Lori Trahan faces only a minor primary challenge on September 1, while Republican candidates have filed but lack significant fundraising or polling visibility. This partisan baseline, combined with Massachusetts' consistent Democratic performance in recent House cycles and the absence of competitive opposition or major campaign developments, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected national wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited scope for such shifts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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