The district's pronounced Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins and an R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Clay Higgins faces no primary opposition and enters the November 3 general election against a low-visibility Democratic field that includes John Day, Tia LeBrun, and Caleb Walker. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical results and the absence of major campaign developments or polling shifts. A change in outcome would require the incumbent's withdrawal or an unforeseen scandal emerging before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,145 거래량
$11,145 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$11,145 거래량
$11,145 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,970 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$7,175 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins and an R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Clay Higgins faces no primary opposition and enters the November 3 general election against a low-visibility Democratic field that includes John Day, Tia LeBrun, and Caleb Walker. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical results and the absence of major campaign developments or polling shifts. A change in outcome would require the incumbent's withdrawal or an unforeseen scandal emerging before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$11,145종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins and an R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Clay Higgins faces no primary opposition and enters the November 3 general election against a low-visibility Democratic field that includes John Day, Tia LeBrun, and Caleb Walker. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical results and the absence of major campaign developments or polling shifts. A change in outcome would require the incumbent's withdrawal or an unforeseen scandal emerging before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,145종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's pronounced Republican partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins and an R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Clay Higgins faces no primary opposition and enters the November 3 general election against a low-visibility Democratic field that includes John Day, Tia LeBrun, and Caleb Walker. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical results and the absence of major campaign developments or polling shifts. A change in outcome would require the incumbent's withdrawal or an unforeseen scandal emerging before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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