Republican Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate has created an open seat in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, a central Kentucky area anchored by Lexington that carries a Republican partisan voting index advantage and where Donald Trump outperformed his national results in recent cycles. Primaries concluded on May 19 with Ralph Alvarado securing the GOP nomination and Zach Dembo emerging for Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the race as Solid Republican, citing the district's electoral math and limited Democratic path in a midterm environment. Trader consensus at 72.5% for the Republican Party aligns with these structural factors and historical incumbency patterns in comparable seats, though the outcome could shift with national polling trends or turnout dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$22,892 거래량
$22,892 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
73%
민주당
24%
$22,892 거래량
$22,892 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$9,002 거래량
73%
민주당
$13,890 거래량
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate has created an open seat in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, a central Kentucky area anchored by Lexington that carries a Republican partisan voting index advantage and where Donald Trump outperformed his national results in recent cycles. Primaries concluded on May 19 with Ralph Alvarado securing the GOP nomination and Zach Dembo emerging for Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the race as Solid Republican, citing the district's electoral math and limited Democratic path in a midterm environment. Trader consensus at 72.5% for the Republican Party aligns with these structural factors and historical incumbency patterns in comparable seats, though the outcome could shift with national polling trends or turnout dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$22,892종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate has created an open seat in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, a central Kentucky area anchored by Lexington that carries a Republican partisan voting index advantage and where Donald Trump outperformed his national results in recent cycles. Primaries concluded on May 19 with Ralph Alvarado securing the GOP nomination and Zach Dembo emerging for Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the race as Solid Republican, citing the district's electoral math and limited Democratic path in a midterm environment. Trader consensus at 72.5% for the Republican Party aligns with these structural factors and historical incumbency patterns in comparable seats, though the outcome could shift with national polling trends or turnout dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$22,892종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate has created an open seat in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, a central Kentucky area anchored by Lexington that carries a Republican partisan voting index advantage and where Donald Trump outperformed his national results in recent cycles. Primaries concluded on May 19 with Ralph Alvarado securing the GOP nomination and Zach Dembo emerging for Democrats. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the race as Solid Republican, citing the district's electoral math and limited Democratic path in a midterm environment. Trader consensus at 72.5% for the Republican Party aligns with these structural factors and historical incumbency patterns in comparable seats, though the outcome could shift with national polling trends or turnout dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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