The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Andy Barr, favors the Republican nominee following the May 19, 2026 primaries. Ralph Alvarado secured the GOP nomination, while Zach Dembo advanced for Democrats. The district's Republican lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus around a 73% probability for the Republican Party. Limited recent polling has shown competitive head-to-head matchups in some scenarios, yet structural advantages for Republicans in this central Kentucky district have kept Democratic chances in the low 20s. No major late developments have altered the positioning ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$22,892 거래량
$22,892 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
73%
민주당
24%
$22,892 거래량
$22,892 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$9,002 거래량
73%
민주당
$13,890 거래량
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Andy Barr, favors the Republican nominee following the May 19, 2026 primaries. Ralph Alvarado secured the GOP nomination, while Zach Dembo advanced for Democrats. The district's Republican lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus around a 73% probability for the Republican Party. Limited recent polling has shown competitive head-to-head matchups in some scenarios, yet structural advantages for Republicans in this central Kentucky district have kept Democratic chances in the low 20s. No major late developments have altered the positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$22,892종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Andy Barr, favors the Republican nominee following the May 19, 2026 primaries. Ralph Alvarado secured the GOP nomination, while Zach Dembo advanced for Democrats. The district's Republican lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus around a 73% probability for the Republican Party. Limited recent polling has shown competitive head-to-head matchups in some scenarios, yet structural advantages for Republicans in this central Kentucky district have kept Democratic chances in the low 20s. No major late developments have altered the positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$22,892종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Andy Barr, favors the Republican nominee following the May 19, 2026 primaries. Ralph Alvarado secured the GOP nomination, while Zach Dembo advanced for Democrats. The district's Republican lean, reflected in prior election margins and partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus around a 73% probability for the Republican Party. Limited recent polling has shown competitive head-to-head matchups in some scenarios, yet structural advantages for Republicans in this central Kentucky district have kept Democratic chances in the low 20s. No major late developments have altered the positioning ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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