The open seat in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, vacated by Republican Andy Barr's Senate bid, features an R+7 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit Republican margins that underpin the 68.5% trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican primary on May 19 with a clear plurality, while Democrat Zach Dembo advanced from a crowded field. Limited April polling showed competitive head-to-head matchups, yet the district's structural Republican advantage and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept probabilities stable ahead of the November 3 general election. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence final positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,303 거래량
$23,303 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
69%
민주당
28%
$23,303 거래량
$23,303 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$9,244 거래량
69%
민주당
$14,060 거래량
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, vacated by Republican Andy Barr's Senate bid, features an R+7 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit Republican margins that underpin the 68.5% trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican primary on May 19 with a clear plurality, while Democrat Zach Dembo advanced from a crowded field. Limited April polling showed competitive head-to-head matchups, yet the district's structural Republican advantage and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept probabilities stable ahead of the November 3 general election. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$23,303종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, vacated by Republican Andy Barr's Senate bid, features an R+7 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit Republican margins that underpin the 68.5% trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican primary on May 19 with a clear plurality, while Democrat Zach Dembo advanced from a crowded field. Limited April polling showed competitive head-to-head matchups, yet the district's structural Republican advantage and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept probabilities stable ahead of the November 3 general election. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$23,303종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Kentucky's 6th Congressional District, vacated by Republican Andy Barr's Senate bid, features an R+7 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit Republican margins that underpin the 68.5% trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican primary on May 19 with a clear plurality, while Democrat Zach Dembo advanced from a crowded field. Limited April polling showed competitive head-to-head matchups, yet the district's structural Republican advantage and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept probabilities stable ahead of the November 3 general election. Upcoming campaign events and any shifts in national midterm dynamics could still influence final positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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