The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District, created by Republican incumbent Andy Barr’s retirement to pursue a Senate bid, remains anchored in a district where Donald Trump carried the presidential vote by 15 points in 2024. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary, while Zach Dembo won the Democratic primary; both nominees now head into the November general election. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with Alvarado’s endorsements from figures including President Trump and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 72.5% Republican probability. Limited post-primary polling shows competitive head-to-head matchups, yet the underlying partisan lean and historical results continue to favor the Republican nominee.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$22,892 거래량
$22,892 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
73%
민주당
24%
$22,892 거래량
$22,892 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$9,002 거래량
73%
민주당
$13,890 거래량
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District, created by Republican incumbent Andy Barr’s retirement to pursue a Senate bid, remains anchored in a district where Donald Trump carried the presidential vote by 15 points in 2024. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary, while Zach Dembo won the Democratic primary; both nominees now head into the November general election. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with Alvarado’s endorsements from figures including President Trump and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 72.5% Republican probability. Limited post-primary polling shows competitive head-to-head matchups, yet the underlying partisan lean and historical results continue to favor the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$22,892종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District, created by Republican incumbent Andy Barr’s retirement to pursue a Senate bid, remains anchored in a district where Donald Trump carried the presidential vote by 15 points in 2024. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary, while Zach Dembo won the Democratic primary; both nominees now head into the November general election. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with Alvarado’s endorsements from figures including President Trump and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 72.5% Republican probability. Limited post-primary polling shows competitive head-to-head matchups, yet the underlying partisan lean and historical results continue to favor the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$22,892종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District, created by Republican incumbent Andy Barr’s retirement to pursue a Senate bid, remains anchored in a district where Donald Trump carried the presidential vote by 15 points in 2024. Ralph Alvarado secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary, while Zach Dembo won the Democratic primary; both nominees now head into the November general election. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with Alvarado’s endorsements from figures including President Trump and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 72.5% Republican probability. Limited post-primary polling shows competitive head-to-head matchups, yet the underlying partisan lean and historical results continue to favor the Republican nominee.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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