Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote in Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced on the other side. The district's longstanding partisan voting index and voting patterns in recent cycles create a wide structural advantage for Republican candidates in general elections. Traders price this outcome at 93.5 percent, consistent with the area's historical results and the limited resources available to challengers. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution point. Shifts could occur from an unusually large national wave favoring Democrats, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or substantially higher than expected turnout among opposing voters, though such developments have not materialized to date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,200 거래량
94%
Democratic Party
$3,679 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote in Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced on the other side. The district's longstanding partisan voting index and voting patterns in recent cycles create a wide structural advantage for Republican candidates in general elections. Traders price this outcome at 93.5 percent, consistent with the area's historical results and the limited resources available to challengers. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution point. Shifts could occur from an unusually large national wave favoring Democrats, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or substantially higher than expected turnout among opposing voters, though such developments have not materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$5,879종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote in Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced on the other side. The district's longstanding partisan voting index and voting patterns in recent cycles create a wide structural advantage for Republican candidates in general elections. Traders price this outcome at 93.5 percent, consistent with the area's historical results and the limited resources available to challengers. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution point. Shifts could occur from an unusually large national wave favoring Democrats, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or substantially higher than expected turnout among opposing voters, though such developments have not materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,879종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with over 85 percent of the vote in Kentucky's 2nd congressional district, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced on the other side. The district's longstanding partisan voting index and voting patterns in recent cycles create a wide structural advantage for Republican candidates in general elections. Traders price this outcome at 93.5 percent, consistent with the area's historical results and the limited resources available to challengers. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution point. Shifts could occur from an unusually large national wave favoring Democrats, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or substantially higher than expected turnout among opposing voters, though such developments have not materialized to date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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