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Indian Election: How many seats will the NDA win?

Market icon

Indian Election: How many seats will the NDA win?

<300 100.0%

300-325 100.0%

326-350 100.0%

351-375 100.0%

Polymarket

$590,670 Vol.

<300 100.0%

300-325 100.0%

326-350 100.0%

351-375 100.0%

Polymarket

$590,670 Vol.

Market icon

<300

$134,650 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

300-325

$111,206 Vol.

No

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326-350

$126,460 Vol.

No

Market icon

351-375

$72,068 Vol.

No

Market icon

376-400

$66,383 Vol.

No

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>400

$79,905 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls less than 300 seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes".

This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
볼륨
$590,670
종료일
Jun 4, 2024
생성일
Apr 18, 2024, 5:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NDA controls less than 300 seats in the Lok Sabha as a result of the 2024 Indian general election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the 2024 Indian General Election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market will resolve based off the party composition of the NDA at the time of the official announcement of the election results, currently scheduled for June 4. Any subsequent changes to the NDA coalition will not be considered for this market's resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

제안된 결과: Yes

이의 없음

최종 결과: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Indian Election: How many seats will the NDA win?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<300" at 100%, followed by "300-325" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Indian Election: How many seats will the NDA win?" has generated $590.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 18, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Indian Election: How many seats will the NDA win?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Indian Election: How many seats will the NDA win?" is "<300" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "300-325" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Indian Election: How many seats will the NDA win?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.