Illinois’s 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+6, providing structural support for Democratic candidates in general elections. Incumbent Bill Foster secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary without significant opposition, while Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a competitive primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with Foster’s prior victories and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus in the prediction market assigns the Democratic Party a 91.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat in November 2026. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still affect the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,298 거래량
$11,298 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
6%
$11,298 거래량
$11,298 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$3,161 거래량
92%
Republican Party
$8,137 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois’s 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+6, providing structural support for Democratic candidates in general elections. Incumbent Bill Foster secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary without significant opposition, while Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a competitive primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with Foster’s prior victories and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus in the prediction market assigns the Democratic Party a 91.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat in November 2026. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still affect the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$11,298종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois’s 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+6, providing structural support for Democratic candidates in general elections. Incumbent Bill Foster secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary without significant opposition, while Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a competitive primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with Foster’s prior victories and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus in the prediction market assigns the Democratic Party a 91.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat in November 2026. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still affect the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,298종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois’s 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+6, providing structural support for Democratic candidates in general elections. Incumbent Bill Foster secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary without significant opposition, while Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a competitive primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with Foster’s prior victories and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus in the prediction market assigns the Democratic Party a 91.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat in November 2026. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still affect the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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