The Illinois 3rd congressional district remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold in the Chicago metropolitan area, where incumbent Representative Delia Ramirez secured reelection in 2024 with over 67 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary. The Republican nominee, Angel Oakley, also faced no primary opposition, leaving the general election contest on November 3 without a high-profile challenger or significant outside spending. Nonpartisan ratings from sources including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solidly or safely Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan lean and historical turnout patterns that have consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages, though an unforeseen national political shift or late-breaking local development could still narrow the outcome before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$36,117 거래량
$36,117 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
5%
$36,117 거래량
$36,117 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,713 거래량
95%
공화당
$21,405 거래량
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 3rd congressional district remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold in the Chicago metropolitan area, where incumbent Representative Delia Ramirez secured reelection in 2024 with over 67 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary. The Republican nominee, Angel Oakley, also faced no primary opposition, leaving the general election contest on November 3 without a high-profile challenger or significant outside spending. Nonpartisan ratings from sources including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solidly or safely Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan lean and historical turnout patterns that have consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages, though an unforeseen national political shift or late-breaking local development could still narrow the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$36,117종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 3rd congressional district remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold in the Chicago metropolitan area, where incumbent Representative Delia Ramirez secured reelection in 2024 with over 67 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary. The Republican nominee, Angel Oakley, also faced no primary opposition, leaving the general election contest on November 3 without a high-profile challenger or significant outside spending. Nonpartisan ratings from sources including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solidly or safely Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan lean and historical turnout patterns that have consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages, though an unforeseen national political shift or late-breaking local development could still narrow the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$36,117종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 3rd congressional district remains a longstanding Democratic stronghold in the Chicago metropolitan area, where incumbent Representative Delia Ramirez secured reelection in 2024 with over 67 percent of the vote and advanced unopposed through the March 2026 primary. The Republican nominee, Angel Oakley, also faced no primary opposition, leaving the general election contest on November 3 without a high-profile challenger or significant outside spending. Nonpartisan ratings from sources including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solidly or safely Democratic, aligning with the district’s partisan lean and historical turnout patterns that have consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages, though an unforeseen national political shift or late-breaking local development could still narrow the outcome before election day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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