The Republican Party maintains a dominant position in the Idaho 2nd congressional district House election due to the district’s consistent R+13 Partisan Voter Index and long-standing voter preference for GOP candidates in eastern and central Idaho. Incumbent Mike Simpson, seeking his 15th term after representing the area since 1999, advanced through the May 19 primary against limited challengers while Democrat Elinor Gilbreath faces no opposition in her primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical margins exceeding 30 points and Simpson’s 61 percent share in 2024. Scenarios that could narrow this gap remain limited to unforeseen developments such as a late primary upset, significant health event, or major scandal affecting the nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$1,885 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$2,059 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party maintains a dominant position in the Idaho 2nd congressional district House election due to the district’s consistent R+13 Partisan Voter Index and long-standing voter preference for GOP candidates in eastern and central Idaho. Incumbent Mike Simpson, seeking his 15th term after representing the area since 1999, advanced through the May 19 primary against limited challengers while Democrat Elinor Gilbreath faces no opposition in her primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical margins exceeding 30 points and Simpson’s 61 percent share in 2024. Scenarios that could narrow this gap remain limited to unforeseen developments such as a late primary upset, significant health event, or major scandal affecting the nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$3,944종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party maintains a dominant position in the Idaho 2nd congressional district House election due to the district’s consistent R+13 Partisan Voter Index and long-standing voter preference for GOP candidates in eastern and central Idaho. Incumbent Mike Simpson, seeking his 15th term after representing the area since 1999, advanced through the May 19 primary against limited challengers while Democrat Elinor Gilbreath faces no opposition in her primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical margins exceeding 30 points and Simpson’s 61 percent share in 2024. Scenarios that could narrow this gap remain limited to unforeseen developments such as a late primary upset, significant health event, or major scandal affecting the nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$3,944종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party maintains a dominant position in the Idaho 2nd congressional district House election due to the district’s consistent R+13 Partisan Voter Index and long-standing voter preference for GOP candidates in eastern and central Idaho. Incumbent Mike Simpson, seeking his 15th term after representing the area since 1999, advanced through the May 19 primary against limited challengers while Democrat Elinor Gilbreath faces no opposition in her primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting historical margins exceeding 30 points and Simpson’s 61 percent share in 2024. Scenarios that could narrow this gap remain limited to unforeseen developments such as a late primary upset, significant health event, or major scandal affecting the nominee ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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