Name: How many viewers will the debate get?
Start: 2024-09-10T12:00:00.000Z
End: 2024-09-10T12:00:00.000Z

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Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

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This is a market on predicting the number of viewers for the ABC Debate.

This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024 has fewer than 50,000,000 viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.


<50m

This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024 has 50,000,000 (inclusive) to 55,000,000 (exclusive) viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.


50-55m

This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024 has 55,000,000 (inclusive) to 60,000,000 (exclusive) viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.


55-60m

This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024 has 60,000,000 (inclusive) to 65,000,000 (exclusive) viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.


60-65m

This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024 has 65,000,000 (inclusive) to 70,000,000 (exclusive) viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.


65-70m

This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024 has 70,000,000 (inclusive) to 75,000,000 (exclusive) viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.


70-75m

This market refers to the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump during the 2024 election cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, currently scheduled for September 10, 2024 has 75,000,000 or more viewers according to Nielsen. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If a debate takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the debate within 10 days, another credible source may be chosen.


75m+

How many viewers will the debate get?

This market will resolve according to the number of viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports Super Bowl LX as having.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise does not occur by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for Super Bowl LX may also be used. If Super Bowl LX takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible resolution for Super Bowl viewership source may be chosen.

슈퍼볼 LX의 시청자 수가 1억 2,800만 명에서 1억 3,200만 명 사이일까요?

Nielsen reported 127,713,000 viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) for Super Bowl LIX last year, making it the most viewed super bowl in history. 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nielsen reports more than 127,713,000 viewers (Persons 2+/P2+) for Super Bowl LX this year. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A reported number of viewers exactly equal to 127,713,000 will not qualify.

If Super Bowl LX is postponed after February 28, or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. A consensus of credible reporting on Nielsen's Persons 2+ statistic for Super Bowl LX may also be used. If Super Bowl LX takes place, and Nielsen does not provide viewership information for the broadcast of the game within 10 calendar days, another credible source may be chosen.

2026년 슈퍼볼이 역대 가장 많이 시청된 슈퍼볼이 될까요?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

JD 밴스가 2028년 미국 대통령 선거에서 승리할까요?

This market will resolve according to the number of the contestant who is announced as the winner of Beast Games.

The winner is defined as the contestant who is announced as the winner. If multiple players are announced as the winner, this market will resolve according to the contestant who wins the most prize money in the final episode. If multiple players tie for most prize money this market will resolve according to the winning contestant whose listed number is highest. 

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. 

The primary resolution source will be the final episode of the Beast Games, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

플레이어 167이 비스트 게임 시즌 2에서 우승할까요?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. 

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. 

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

2026년에 민주당이 애리조나 주지사 선거에서 승리할까요?

This market will resolve according to the bracket containing the number of the contestant who is announced as the winner of Beast Games.

The winner is defined as the contestant who is announced as the winner. If multiple players are announced as the winner, this market will resolve according to the contestant who wins the most prize money in the final episode. If multiple players tie for most prize money this money will resolve according to the winning contestant whose listed number is highest. 

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. 

The primary resolution source will be the final episode of the Beast Games, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

151번에서 175번 참가자가 비스트 게임즈: 시즌 2에서 우승할까요?

Bad Bunny is scheduled to perform at halftime of Super Bowl LX on February 8, 2026. Each Year, the official NFL YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@NFL) posts a video of the halftime show shortly after the game.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the video posted by the NFL of the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

This market will resolve based on the view count for the Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video posted by the official NFL YouTube Channel (https://www.youtube.com/@NFL). Only the view counts posted of the complete performance will count (e.g. the video titled “Kendrick Lamar’s Super Bowl Halftime Show” at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KDorKy-13ak). View counts for other videos posted by the NFL on YouTube will not impact this market’s resolution.

If no video of the Bad Bunny Super Bowl LX halftime show is posted on YouTube by the NFL by February 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Not Posted”.

If the NFL posts multiple videos of Bad Bunny’s full halftime performance on YouTube, this market will resolve based on the view count for the posted video with the most views.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the official NFL YouTube Channel (https://www.youtube.com/@NFL), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

2026년 배드 버니 슈퍼볼 하프타임 쇼 영상이 첫 7일 안에 7,500만에서 1억 조회수를 기록할까요?

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

트럼프가 2026년 11월 2일 ET 캘리포니아 주지사 선거에서 스티브 힐튼을 지지할까요?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is interviewed by Tucker Carlson between November 17, 2025 and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interview is defined as a scheduled, recorded conversation where Donald Trump answers questions posed by Tucker Carlson. Press conferences or media briefings held by the White House with Carlson in attendance will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a credible consensus of reporting that Donald Trump has recorded an interview with Tucker Carlson before February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, even if that interview is not yet released.

The resolution source for this market will be publicly available video footage of the interview; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

터커 칼슨이 2월 28일까지 트럼프를 인터뷰할까요?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

2026년 델라웨어 상원 선거에서 민주당이 승리할까요?

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

민주당이 2028년 미국 대통령 선거에서 승리할까요?

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

에릭 스왈웰이 2026년 캘리포니아 주지사 선거에서 당선될까요?

Super Bowl LX is scheduled to take place on February 8, 2026, 6:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term at any point between kickoff and the conclusion of this game during its official broadcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Plural or possessive versions of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of the context of their use.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

If the start of this game is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond February 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated content will not count towards the resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the official NBC broadcast of this game.

Will "Olympics" or "Olympic" be said at the Super Bowl?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

댄 설리반이 2026년 알래스카 상원 선거에서 승리할까요?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

공화당이 2026년 앨라배마 주지사 선거에서 승리할까요?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alabama U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

공화당이 2026년 앨라배마 상원 선거에서 승리할까요?

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

2026년 사우스캐롤라이나 상원 선거에서 공화당이 승리할까요?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".  

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

버나데트 윌슨이 2026년 알래스카 주지사 선거에서 승리할까요?

Bad Bunny is scheduled to perform at halftime of Super Bowl LX on February 8, 2026. Each year, the official NFL YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@NFL) posts a video of the complete halftime show shortly after the game.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the video posted by the NFL of the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show becomes the most viewed Super Bowl halftime show video on the NFL YouTube channel by March 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the view counts for Super Bowl halftime show videos posted by the official NFL YouTube Channel (https://www.youtube.com/@NFL). Only the view counts for posted videos of complete Super Bowl halftime shows/performances will count (e.g. the video titled “Kendrick Lamar’s Super Bowl Halftime Show” at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KDorKy-13ak). View counts for other videos posted by the NFL will not impact this market’s resolution.

The video posted by the NFL of the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show will be considered to have become the most viewed NFL super bowl halftime show video on the NFL YouTube channel if its total view count is higher for any period of time than any other qualifying NFL Super Bowl halftime show video. A tie in the number of views will not count.

If no video of the Bad Bunny Super Bowl LX halftime show is posted on YouTube by the NFL by March 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the NFL posts multiple videos of Bad Bunny’s complete halftime performance on YouTube, the view count for any of the videos may count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the official NFL YouTube Channel (https://www.youtube.com/@NFL), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

배드 버니 영상, 유튜브에서 슈퍼볼 하프타임쇼 첫 달 최다 조회수 기록?

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Big Brother Brasil 26.

If Big Brother Brasil 26 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Big Brother Brasil 26 has otherwise not concluded by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. 

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Big Brother Brasil 26.

아나 파울라 헤나우트가 빅 브라더 브라질 26에서 우승할까요?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.


MrBeast 영상이 3월 31일까지 첫날에 5천만 조회수를 기록할까요?

Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new episode of the Up Only podcast is publicly released to the general public by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Released previews of the interview won't count - the full interview must be released by the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market will be footage of the interview and/or a consensus of credible reporting.


2026년 2월 28일까지 공개된 Up Only 팟캐스트인가요?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:

- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf

2026년에 블루 쓰나미가 올까요?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Delaware.

If no 2026 Delaware Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Delaware Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

How many viewers will the debate get?

<50m
$79,948 Vol.
No

50-55m
$71,090 Vol.
No

55-60m
$90,725 Vol.
No

60-65m
$53,422 Vol.
No

65-70m
$71,077 Vol.
Yes

70-75m
$29,960 Vol.
No

75m+
$62,722 Vol.
No

How many viewers will the debate get?

How many viewers will the debate get?

<50m$79,948 Vol.No

50-55m$71,090 Vol.No

55-60m$90,725 Vol.No

60-65m$53,422 Vol.No

65-70m$71,077 Vol.Yes

70-75m$29,960 Vol.No

75m+$62,722 Vol.No

How many viewers will the debate get?

<50m
$79,948 Vol.
No

50-55m
$71,090 Vol.
No

55-60m
$90,725 Vol.
No

60-65m
$53,422 Vol.
No

65-70m
$71,077 Vol.
Yes

70-75m
$29,960 Vol.
No

75m+
$62,722 Vol.
No