Incumbent Republican Austin Scott seeks reelection in Georgia's 8th congressional district, a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters, against Democratic nominee Kelly Esti, who won her party's primary on May 19, 2026. Scott advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, reflecting the district's consistent voter patterns and his long tenure. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, consistent with historical performance in this area and the absence of competitive primary challenges or major shifts in voter sentiment. A Democratic win would require substantial turnout changes or unforeseen national developments to overcome the structural partisan advantage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$33,749 거래량
$33,749 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
91%
민주당
7%
$33,749 거래량
$33,749 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$16,358 거래량
91%
민주당
$17,391 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Austin Scott seeks reelection in Georgia's 8th congressional district, a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters, against Democratic nominee Kelly Esti, who won her party's primary on May 19, 2026. Scott advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, reflecting the district's consistent voter patterns and his long tenure. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, consistent with historical performance in this area and the absence of competitive primary challenges or major shifts in voter sentiment. A Democratic win would require substantial turnout changes or unforeseen national developments to overcome the structural partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
거래량
$33,749종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Austin Scott seeks reelection in Georgia's 8th congressional district, a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters, against Democratic nominee Kelly Esti, who won her party's primary on May 19, 2026. Scott advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, reflecting the district's consistent voter patterns and his long tenure. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, consistent with historical performance in this area and the absence of competitive primary challenges or major shifts in voter sentiment. A Democratic win would require substantial turnout changes or unforeseen national developments to overcome the structural partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$33,749종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Austin Scott seeks reelection in Georgia's 8th congressional district, a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters, against Democratic nominee Kelly Esti, who won her party's primary on May 19, 2026. Scott advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, reflecting the district's consistent voter patterns and his long tenure. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, consistent with historical performance in this area and the absence of competitive primary challenges or major shifts in voter sentiment. A Democratic win would require substantial turnout changes or unforeseen national developments to overcome the structural partisan advantage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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