Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Republican Party at 67% implied probability to win Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's proven reelection strength since her 2020 upset victory, including comfortable margins in recent cycles, and her campaign's recent fundraising surge of nearly $1 million over three months reported in early April 2026. The district's Republican-leaning electorate under Florida's new congressional map, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report and the Economist as of May 6, bolsters this edge despite a crowded Democratic primary featuring frontrunner Eliott Rodriguez—leading March polls at 43% among primary voters—and challengers like Robin Peguero. Salazar's delivery of $25.6 million in federal funding for district projects earlier this year further solidifies her incumbency advantage ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
67%
Democratic Party
30%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$3,364 거래량
67%
Democratic Party
$5,211 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Republican Party at 67% implied probability to win Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's proven reelection strength since her 2020 upset victory, including comfortable margins in recent cycles, and her campaign's recent fundraising surge of nearly $1 million over three months reported in early April 2026. The district's Republican-leaning electorate under Florida's new congressional map, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report and the Economist as of May 6, bolsters this edge despite a crowded Democratic primary featuring frontrunner Eliott Rodriguez—leading March polls at 43% among primary voters—and challengers like Robin Peguero. Salazar's delivery of $25.6 million in federal funding for district projects earlier this year further solidifies her incumbency advantage ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$8,574종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Republican Party at 67% implied probability to win Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's proven reelection strength since her 2020 upset victory, including comfortable margins in recent cycles, and her campaign's recent fundraising surge of nearly $1 million over three months reported in early April 2026. The district's Republican-leaning electorate under Florida's new congressional map, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report and the Economist as of May 6, bolsters this edge despite a crowded Democratic primary featuring frontrunner Eliott Rodriguez—leading March polls at 43% among primary voters—and challengers like Robin Peguero. Salazar's delivery of $25.6 million in federal funding for district projects earlier this year further solidifies her incumbency advantage ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,574종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors the Republican Party at 67% implied probability to win Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's proven reelection strength since her 2020 upset victory, including comfortable margins in recent cycles, and her campaign's recent fundraising surge of nearly $1 million over three months reported in early April 2026. The district's Republican-leaning electorate under Florida's new congressional map, rated Likely Republican by Cook Political Report and the Economist as of May 6, bolsters this edge despite a crowded Democratic primary featuring frontrunner Eliott Rodriguez—leading March polls at 43% among primary voters—and challengers like Robin Peguero. Salazar's delivery of $25.6 million in federal funding for district projects earlier this year further solidifies her incumbency advantage ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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