Florida's 27th congressional district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, including incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar's 60 percent margin in 2024. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as Likely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's underlying voter base and limited Democratic performance in early 2026 polling. An August 18 primary featuring Salazar against Republican challengers and a crowded Democratic field, including frontrunner Eliott Rodriguez, has not yet produced polling or fundraising shifts that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus therefore assigns Republicans the higher implied probability based on these structural factors, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of major district-specific developments in the past month.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,064 거래량
$13,064 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
67%
Democratic Party
31%
$13,064 거래량
$13,064 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$5,558 거래량
67%
Democratic Party
$7,506 거래량
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 27th congressional district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, including incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar's 60 percent margin in 2024. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as Likely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's underlying voter base and limited Democratic performance in early 2026 polling. An August 18 primary featuring Salazar against Republican challengers and a crowded Democratic field, including frontrunner Eliott Rodriguez, has not yet produced polling or fundraising shifts that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus therefore assigns Republicans the higher implied probability based on these structural factors, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of major district-specific developments in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$13,064종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 27th congressional district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, including incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar's 60 percent margin in 2024. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as Likely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's underlying voter base and limited Democratic performance in early 2026 polling. An August 18 primary featuring Salazar against Republican challengers and a crowded Democratic field, including frontrunner Eliott Rodriguez, has not yet produced polling or fundraising shifts that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus therefore assigns Republicans the higher implied probability based on these structural factors, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of major district-specific developments in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,064종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 27th congressional district carries an R+6 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, including incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar's 60 percent margin in 2024. Nonpartisan race raters classify the seat as Likely Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's underlying voter base and limited Democratic performance in early 2026 polling. An August 18 primary featuring Salazar against Republican challengers and a crowded Democratic field, including frontrunner Eliott Rodriguez, has not yet produced polling or fundraising shifts that would narrow the gap. Trader consensus therefore assigns Republicans the higher implied probability based on these structural factors, historical turnout patterns, and the absence of major district-specific developments in the past month.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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