Florida's 3rd congressional district leans strongly Republican due to its rural northern counties outweighing the more Democratic-leaning area around Gainesville, giving incumbent Representative Kat Cammack a clear structural advantage in the 2026 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent past results and limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers. With primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with the district's partisan voting index and the absence of recent developments that would shift the competitive balance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,786 거래량
$13,786 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
12%
$13,786 거래량
$13,786 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$8,514 거래량
75%
Democratic Party
$5,272 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district leans strongly Republican due to its rural northern counties outweighing the more Democratic-leaning area around Gainesville, giving incumbent Representative Kat Cammack a clear structural advantage in the 2026 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent past results and limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers. With primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with the district's partisan voting index and the absence of recent developments that would shift the competitive balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$13,786종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district leans strongly Republican due to its rural northern counties outweighing the more Democratic-leaning area around Gainesville, giving incumbent Representative Kat Cammack a clear structural advantage in the 2026 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent past results and limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers. With primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with the district's partisan voting index and the absence of recent developments that would shift the competitive balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$13,786종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 3rd congressional district leans strongly Republican due to its rural northern counties outweighing the more Democratic-leaning area around Gainesville, giving incumbent Representative Kat Cammack a clear structural advantage in the 2026 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent past results and limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers. With primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with the district's partisan voting index and the absence of recent developments that would shift the competitive balance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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