Trader consensus favors USA at 41% implied probability to top Group D, narrowly ahead of Türkiye at 36%, capturing the hosts' home-soil edge across familiar U.S. venues against Türkiye's blistering UEFA playoff run. The USMNT's late-March friendlies exposed vulnerabilities with losses to Belgium (2-5) and Portugal (0-2), contrasting Türkiye's shutouts over Romania (1-0) and Kosovo (1-0) plus a 6-1 aggregate rout of Hungary. Recent training camps show no key injuries, with USA's roster reveal set for May 26 heightening intrigue. Paraguay (17.5%) offers CONMEBOL grit but lacks momentum, while Australia (7.1%) faces travel fatigue, keeping this group stage contest fiercely competitive.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트미국 41%
튀르키예 36%
파라과이 18%
호주 7.4%
$44,361 거래량
$44,361 거래량
미국
41%
튀르키예
36%
파라과이
18%
호주
7%
미국 41%
튀르키예 36%
파라과이 18%
호주 7.4%
$44,361 거래량
$44,361 거래량
미국
41%
튀르키예
36%
파라과이
18%
호주
7%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors USA at 41% implied probability to top Group D, narrowly ahead of Türkiye at 36%, capturing the hosts' home-soil edge across familiar U.S. venues against Türkiye's blistering UEFA playoff run. The USMNT's late-March friendlies exposed vulnerabilities with losses to Belgium (2-5) and Portugal (0-2), contrasting Türkiye's shutouts over Romania (1-0) and Kosovo (1-0) plus a 6-1 aggregate rout of Hungary. Recent training camps show no key injuries, with USA's roster reveal set for May 26 heightening intrigue. Paraguay (17.5%) offers CONMEBOL grit but lacks momentum, while Australia (7.1%) faces travel fatigue, keeping this group stage contest fiercely competitive.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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