Trader consensus heavily favors no passage of an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by recent bipartisan defeats: the Senate blocked a fourth Democratic-led measure 47-52 on April 15 amid Republican opposition to constraining President Trump's military operations against Iran, followed by a razor-thin House rejection 213-214 on April 16-17 with minimal crossovers from Reps. Massie and Golden. These failures, echoing earlier votes like H.Con.Res.38 in March, underscore entrenched partisan lines and slim procedural paths in the remaining 11 days, despite a ticking 60-day War Powers Resolution clock from late February strikes. Realistic shifts could stem from ceasefire expiration on April 22 sparking escalation or unexpected GOP defections, though active peace talks reduce urgency.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$17,717 거래량
$17,717 거래량
2026.04.30
예
$17,717 거래량
$17,717 거래량
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no passage of an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by recent bipartisan defeats: the Senate blocked a fourth Democratic-led measure 47-52 on April 15 amid Republican opposition to constraining President Trump's military operations against Iran, followed by a razor-thin House rejection 213-214 on April 16-17 with minimal crossovers from Reps. Massie and Golden. These failures, echoing earlier votes like H.Con.Res.38 in March, underscore entrenched partisan lines and slim procedural paths in the remaining 11 days, despite a ticking 60-day War Powers Resolution clock from late February strikes. Realistic shifts could stem from ceasefire expiration on April 22 sparking escalation or unexpected GOP defections, though active peace talks reduce urgency.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
거래량
$17,717종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors no passage of an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by recent bipartisan defeats: the Senate blocked a fourth Democratic-led measure 47-52 on April 15 amid Republican opposition to constraining President Trump's military operations against Iran, followed by a razor-thin House rejection 213-214 on April 16-17 with minimal crossovers from Reps. Massie and Golden. These failures, echoing earlier votes like H.Con.Res.38 in March, underscore entrenched partisan lines and slim procedural paths in the remaining 11 days, despite a ticking 60-day War Powers Resolution clock from late February strikes. Realistic shifts could stem from ceasefire expiration on April 22 sparking escalation or unexpected GOP defections, though active peace talks reduce urgency.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$17,717종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no passage of an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by recent bipartisan defeats: the Senate blocked a fourth Democratic-led measure 47-52 on April 15 amid Republican opposition to constraining President Trump's military operations against Iran, followed by a razor-thin House rejection 213-214 on April 16-17 with minimal crossovers from Reps. Massie and Golden. These failures, echoing earlier votes like H.Con.Res.38 in March, underscore entrenched partisan lines and slim procedural paths in the remaining 11 days, despite a ticking 60-day War Powers Resolution clock from late February strikes. Realistic shifts could stem from ceasefire expiration on April 22 sparking escalation or unexpected GOP defections, though active peace talks reduce urgency.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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