The Republican Party holds a 65% implied probability in Colorado's 4th Congressional District because the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 and features incumbent Lauren Boebert seeking re-election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the June 30 primary and November 3 general election. Boebert secured the seat in 2024 with 53.6% of the vote after previously representing a neighboring district. Democratic contenders, including retired Navy Rear Admiral Eileen Laubacher, have raised substantial funds and consolidated support following other candidates' exits, yet the district's rural Eastern Plains and suburban composition continues to favor the GOP. No major developments in recent weeks have altered these structural advantages.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
30%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$7,349 거래량
65%
Democratic Party
$740 거래량
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 65% implied probability in Colorado's 4th Congressional District because the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 and features incumbent Lauren Boebert seeking re-election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the June 30 primary and November 3 general election. Boebert secured the seat in 2024 with 53.6% of the vote after previously representing a neighboring district. Democratic contenders, including retired Navy Rear Admiral Eileen Laubacher, have raised substantial funds and consolidated support following other candidates' exits, yet the district's rural Eastern Plains and suburban composition continues to favor the GOP. No major developments in recent weeks have altered these structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$8,090종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 65% implied probability in Colorado's 4th Congressional District because the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 and features incumbent Lauren Boebert seeking re-election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the June 30 primary and November 3 general election. Boebert secured the seat in 2024 with 53.6% of the vote after previously representing a neighboring district. Democratic contenders, including retired Navy Rear Admiral Eileen Laubacher, have raised substantial funds and consolidated support following other candidates' exits, yet the district's rural Eastern Plains and suburban composition continues to favor the GOP. No major developments in recent weeks have altered these structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,090종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a 65% implied probability in Colorado's 4th Congressional District because the seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 and features incumbent Lauren Boebert seeking re-election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the June 30 primary and November 3 general election. Boebert secured the seat in 2024 with 53.6% of the vote after previously representing a neighboring district. Democratic contenders, including retired Navy Rear Admiral Eileen Laubacher, have raised substantial funds and consolidated support following other candidates' exits, yet the district's rural Eastern Plains and suburban composition continues to favor the GOP. No major developments in recent weeks have altered these structural advantages.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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