The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's strong partisan lean, reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent's 68.4% victory margin in 2024. Joe Neguse faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 30 contest, while Republican challengers have reported minimal fundraising activity. Trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for similar districts and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts in voter turnout patterns. A Democratic win would require an unprecedented swing in a low-competition environment; scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late primary surprise, significant candidate withdrawal, or unexpected national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,221 거래량
$26,221 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
94%
공화당
6%
$26,221 거래량
$26,221 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,332 거래량
94%
공화당
$11,889 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's strong partisan lean, reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent's 68.4% victory margin in 2024. Joe Neguse faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 30 contest, while Republican challengers have reported minimal fundraising activity. Trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for similar districts and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts in voter turnout patterns. A Democratic win would require an unprecedented swing in a low-competition environment; scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late primary surprise, significant candidate withdrawal, or unexpected national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
거래량
$26,221종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's strong partisan lean, reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent's 68.4% victory margin in 2024. Joe Neguse faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 30 contest, while Republican challengers have reported minimal fundraising activity. Trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for similar districts and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts in voter turnout patterns. A Democratic win would require an unprecedented swing in a low-competition environment; scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late primary surprise, significant candidate withdrawal, or unexpected national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,221종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd Congressional District due to the seat's strong partisan lean, reflected in its D+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and the incumbent's 68.4% victory margin in 2024. Joe Neguse faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 30 contest, while Republican challengers have reported minimal fundraising activity. Trader consensus aligns with historical base rates for similar districts and the absence of competitive polling or notable shifts in voter turnout patterns. A Democratic win would require an unprecedented swing in a low-competition environment; scenarios that could narrow the gap include a late primary surprise, significant candidate withdrawal, or unexpected national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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