Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The district’s consistent partisan lean, evidenced by large historical margins and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solidly Democratic, underpins the current pricing. Neguse faces only nominal Republican opposition in the June 30 primary and enters the race with established fundraising and name recognition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout patterns, none of which have materialized in recent months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$30,966 거래량
$30,966 거래량
민주당
94%
공화당
5%
$30,966 거래량
$30,966 거래량
민주당
94%
공화당
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 93.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The district’s consistent partisan lean, evidenced by large historical margins and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solidly Democratic, underpins the current pricing. Neguse faces only nominal Republican opposition in the June 30 primary and enters the race with established fundraising and name recognition. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unexpected shifts in voter turnout patterns, none of which have materialized in recent months.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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