Arizona's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 30-point margin in the prior cycle. Multiple independent race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe for Republicans ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The July 21 primaries feature limited Democratic opposition with modest fundraising, while the Republican primary pits the sitting member against a single challenger. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic wave, unexpectedly high suburban turnout, or a primary result that produces a less competitive Republican nominee, though the district's baseline partisan composition limits the scope for such changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,872 거래량
92%
Democratic Party
$2,657 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 30-point margin in the prior cycle. Multiple independent race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe for Republicans ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The July 21 primaries feature limited Democratic opposition with modest fundraising, while the Republican primary pits the sitting member against a single challenger. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic wave, unexpectedly high suburban turnout, or a primary result that produces a less competitive Republican nominee, though the district's baseline partisan composition limits the scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$5,529종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 30-point margin in the prior cycle. Multiple independent race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe for Republicans ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The July 21 primaries feature limited Democratic opposition with modest fundraising, while the Republican primary pits the sitting member against a single challenger. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic wave, unexpectedly high suburban turnout, or a primary result that produces a less competitive Republican nominee, though the district's baseline partisan composition limits the scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$5,529종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 30-point margin in the prior cycle. Multiple independent race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe for Republicans ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The July 21 primaries feature limited Democratic opposition with modest fundraising, while the Republican primary pits the sitting member against a single challenger. These structural factors underpin trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic wave, unexpectedly high suburban turnout, or a primary result that produces a less competitive Republican nominee, though the district's baseline partisan composition limits the scope for such changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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