Alabama's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting indices around R+20 and uniform "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Gary Palmer, first elected in 2014, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, while Democratic candidates compete in an August 11 special primary under ongoing redistricting litigation. These structural factors, combined with the seat's consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$11,339 거래량
$11,339 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
91%
민주당
8%
$11,339 거래량
$11,339 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$7,827 거래량
91%
민주당
$3,511 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting indices around R+20 and uniform "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Gary Palmer, first elected in 2014, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, while Democratic candidates compete in an August 11 special primary under ongoing redistricting litigation. These structural factors, combined with the seat's consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$11,339종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting indices around R+20 and uniform "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Gary Palmer, first elected in 2014, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, while Democratic candidates compete in an August 11 special primary under ongoing redistricting litigation. These structural factors, combined with the seat's consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$11,339종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in partisan voting indices around R+20 and uniform "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Gary Palmer, first elected in 2014, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, while Democratic candidates compete in an August 11 special primary under ongoing redistricting litigation. These structural factors, combined with the seat's consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, underpin the current trader consensus. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문