Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 83 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Lee McInnis in the November general election for Alabama's 3rd congressional district. The race carries a solidly Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and repeated large Republican margins in recent cycles. Traders price the Republican outcome at over 90 percent, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising disparities, and the absence of a contested Democratic primary. Potential shifts remain possible through unforeseen events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or national political realignments that alter turnout patterns before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$17,412 거래량
$17,412 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
92%
민주당
6%
$17,412 거래량
$17,412 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,833 거래량
92%
민주당
$8,579 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 83 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Lee McInnis in the November general election for Alabama's 3rd congressional district. The race carries a solidly Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and repeated large Republican margins in recent cycles. Traders price the Republican outcome at over 90 percent, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising disparities, and the absence of a contested Democratic primary. Potential shifts remain possible through unforeseen events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or national political realignments that alter turnout patterns before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$17,412종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 83 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Lee McInnis in the November general election for Alabama's 3rd congressional district. The race carries a solidly Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and repeated large Republican margins in recent cycles. Traders price the Republican outcome at over 90 percent, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising disparities, and the absence of a contested Democratic primary. Potential shifts remain possible through unforeseen events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or national political realignments that alter turnout patterns before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$17,412종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 83 percent of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Lee McInnis in the November general election for Alabama's 3rd congressional district. The race carries a solidly Republican rating from nonpartisan analysts, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and repeated large Republican margins in recent cycles. Traders price the Republican outcome at over 90 percent, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, fundraising disparities, and the absence of a contested Democratic primary. Potential shifts remain possible through unforeseen events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or national political realignments that alter turnout patterns before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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