2023 Global Heat Increase
$1,536,163 Vol.
Dec 30, 2023
1.05+
$307,567 Vol.
Yes
1.08+
$307,850 Vol.
Yes
1.11+
$329,086 Vol.
Yes
1.13+
$353,862 Vol.
Yes
1.15+
$138,175 Vol.
Yes
1.18+
$99,624 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2023 shows an increase of 1.05°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of 1.05°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for 2023 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2023 shows an increase of 1.05°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of 1.05°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for 2023 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
An anomaly of 1.05°C or greater for 2023 will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for 2023 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2023" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2023 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
생성일: Aug 18, 2023, 5:44 PM ET
볼륨
$1,536,163종료일
Dec 31, 2023생성일
Aug 18, 2023, 5:44 PM ET제안된 결과: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
2023 Global Heat Increase
$1,536,163 Vol.
1.05+
$307,567 Vol.
Yes
1.08+
$307,850 Vol.
Yes
1.11+
$329,086 Vol.
Yes
1.13+
$353,862 Vol.
Yes
1.15+
$138,175 Vol.
Yes
1.18+
$99,624 Vol.
No
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