Recent U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding SPR) rose unexpectedly by 17.4 million barrels to 424.4 million in the week ended August 7, driven by higher imports and lower exports, pushing levels above the five-year average and reversing prior draw trends. EIA data show refinery crude runs and net import dynamics as key near-term variables, with the next weekly reports (August 19 and 26) likely to determine positioning ahead of the August 28 resolution window. Broader STEO forecasts anticipate inventories staying below the 2021–2025 average through year-end due to elevated exports and refinery utilization, though short-term volatility from seasonal demand and global trade flows could influence trader-implied probabilities on draw thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$52,558 Vol.
2億8500万バレル
68%
2億7000万
2%
2億5500万バレル
1%
2億4,000万
1%
2億2500万バレル
1%
$52,558 Vol.
2億8500万バレル
68%
2億7000万
2%
2億5500万バレル
1%
2億4,000万
1%
2億2500万バレル
1%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
マーケット開始日: Jul 14, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding SPR) rose unexpectedly by 17.4 million barrels to 424.4 million in the week ended August 7, driven by higher imports and lower exports, pushing levels above the five-year average and reversing prior draw trends. EIA data show refinery crude runs and net import dynamics as key near-term variables, with the next weekly reports (August 19 and 26) likely to determine positioning ahead of the August 28 resolution window. Broader STEO forecasts anticipate inventories staying below the 2021–2025 average through year-end due to elevated exports and refinery utilization, though short-term volatility from seasonal demand and global trade flows could influence trader-implied probabilities on draw thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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