Traders assign a 98.7% probability against Tucker Carlson announcing a 2028 presidential candidacy by June 30 due to the absence of any official statements, campaign filings, or organizational steps in recent weeks. Carlson has continued his media and podcast activities without signaling an imminent launch, and public speculation about his interest has centered on longer-term positioning rather than a near-term declaration. The short window remaining before the deadline reinforces this assessment among market participants. A surprise announcement triggered by shifting political dynamics or external events remains a low-probability scenario that could still alter the outcome before the cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30?
$19,551 Vol.
$19,551 Vol.
$19,551 Vol.
$19,551 Vol.
For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Tucker Carlson will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Tucker Carlson (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: May 1, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Tucker Carlson will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Tucker Carlson (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98.7% probability against Tucker Carlson announcing a 2028 presidential candidacy by June 30 due to the absence of any official statements, campaign filings, or organizational steps in recent weeks. Carlson has continued his media and podcast activities without signaling an imminent launch, and public speculation about his interest has centered on longer-term positioning rather than a near-term declaration. The short window remaining before the deadline reinforces this assessment among market participants. A surprise announcement triggered by shifting political dynamics or external events remains a low-probability scenario that could still alter the outcome before the cutoff.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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