Recent U.S.-Iran diplomacy centers on a preliminary memorandum of understanding reached after months of mediated talks involving Qatar, Pakistan, and others, with virtual or electronic signings completed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian representatives such as Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal ceremony is scheduled around June 19 in Geneva or a comparable venue, yet it remains structured around delegations and procedural steps rather than direct bilateral contact. No verified reports indicate plans for an in-person meeting or handshake between Trump and an Iranian official before the June 20 cutoff. Traders assign a 96% probability to “No” because the compressed timeline, reliance on intermediaries, and history of cautious, sequenced engagement create significant logistical and political barriers to an impromptu personal encounter. A last-minute shift in the signing format or an unplanned bilateral sideline appearance could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$20,546 Vol.
$20,546 Vol.
2026/06/20
はい
$20,546 Vol.
$20,546 Vol.
2026/06/20
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomacy centers on a preliminary memorandum of understanding reached after months of mediated talks involving Qatar, Pakistan, and others, with virtual or electronic signings completed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian representatives such as Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal ceremony is scheduled around June 19 in Geneva or a comparable venue, yet it remains structured around delegations and procedural steps rather than direct bilateral contact. No verified reports indicate plans for an in-person meeting or handshake between Trump and an Iranian official before the June 20 cutoff. Traders assign a 96% probability to “No” because the compressed timeline, reliance on intermediaries, and history of cautious, sequenced engagement create significant logistical and political barriers to an impromptu personal encounter. A last-minute shift in the signing format or an unplanned bilateral sideline appearance could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
マーケット開始日： Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
音量
$20,546終了日
2026/06/20マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomacy centers on a preliminary memorandum of understanding reached after months of mediated talks involving Qatar, Pakistan, and others, with virtual or electronic signings completed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian representatives such as Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal ceremony is scheduled around June 19 in Geneva or a comparable venue, yet it remains structured around delegations and procedural steps rather than direct bilateral contact. No verified reports indicate plans for an in-person meeting or handshake between Trump and an Iranian official before the June 20 cutoff. Traders assign a 96% probability to “No” because the compressed timeline, reliance on intermediaries, and history of cautious, sequenced engagement create significant logistical and political barriers to an impromptu personal encounter. A last-minute shift in the signing format or an unplanned bilateral sideline appearance could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump shakes hands with any current government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran by June 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
A qualifying partner in a handshake with Donald Trump must be a government official of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released within this market’s time frame to qualify.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible in photographs or video.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
The resolution source will be photo or video.
音量
$20,546終了日
2026/06/20マーケット開始日
Jun 15, 2026, 7:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent U.S.-Iran diplomacy centers on a preliminary memorandum of understanding reached after months of mediated talks involving Qatar, Pakistan, and others, with virtual or electronic signings completed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian representatives such as Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. A formal ceremony is scheduled around June 19 in Geneva or a comparable venue, yet it remains structured around delegations and procedural steps rather than direct bilateral contact. No verified reports indicate plans for an in-person meeting or handshake between Trump and an Iranian official before the June 20 cutoff. Traders assign a 96% probability to “No” because the compressed timeline, reliance on intermediaries, and history of cautious, sequenced engagement create significant logistical and political barriers to an impromptu personal encounter. A last-minute shift in the signing format or an unplanned bilateral sideline appearance could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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