The strong trader consensus that Trump will not insult MBS by May 15 reflects the absence of any public friction or confrontational statements in bilateral channels during the period, as diplomatic engagement on energy markets and regional security has remained steady. Historical patterns of direct communication between the two leaders have favored pragmatic coordination over personal criticism, with no recent policy disputes or media exchanges altering that dynamic. While an unplanned remark in a private setting or on social media could still emerge before final resolution, the complete lack of catalysts through the deadline has anchored the implied probability at near certainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,395 Vol.
$25,395 Vol.
2026/05/15
$25,395 Vol.
$25,395 Vol.
2026/05/15
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The strong trader consensus that Trump will not insult MBS by May 15 reflects the absence of any public friction or confrontational statements in bilateral channels during the period, as diplomatic engagement on energy markets and regional security has remained steady. Historical patterns of direct communication between the two leaders have favored pragmatic coordination over personal criticism, with no recent policy disputes or media exchanges altering that dynamic. While an unplanned remark in a private setting or on social media could still emerge before final resolution, the complete lack of catalysts through the deadline has anchored the implied probability at near certainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： May 7, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
音量
$25,395終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The strong trader consensus that Trump will not insult MBS by May 15 reflects the absence of any public friction or confrontational statements in bilateral channels during the period, as diplomatic engagement on energy markets and regional security has remained steady. Historical patterns of direct communication between the two leaders have favored pragmatic coordination over personal criticism, with no recent policy disputes or media exchanges altering that dynamic. While an unplanned remark in a private setting or on social media could still emerge before final resolution, the complete lack of catalysts through the deadline has anchored the implied probability at near certainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Mohammed bin Salman personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$25,395終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The strong trader consensus that Trump will not insult MBS by May 15 reflects the absence of any public friction or confrontational statements in bilateral channels during the period, as diplomatic engagement on energy markets and regional security has remained steady. Historical patterns of direct communication between the two leaders have favored pragmatic coordination over personal criticism, with no recent policy disputes or media exchanges altering that dynamic. While an unplanned remark in a private setting or on social media could still emerge before final resolution, the complete lack of catalysts through the deadline has anchored the implied probability at near certainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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