The Trump administration’s June 2026 request for roughly $87.6 billion in supplemental appropriations, including $67.1 billion for Department of Defense operations tied to the ongoing conflict with Iran, has driven Senate consideration of war-related funding ahead of the September 30 fiscal year-end. Senate Appropriations Committee hearings in July, featuring Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s testimony on $37.5 billion in costs incurred to date, underscored munitions replenishment and operational shortfalls. House passage of related frameworks and ongoing negotiations over offsets and a potential reconciliation path have reinforced trader assessments of a 77% implied probability for at least $20 billion clearing the chamber, even as the 60-vote threshold and partisan differences on war strategy persist.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日77% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
77% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration’s June 2026 request for roughly $87.6 billion in supplemental appropriations, including $67.1 billion for Department of Defense operations tied to the ongoing conflict with Iran, has driven Senate consideration of war-related funding ahead of the September 30 fiscal year-end. Senate Appropriations Committee hearings in July, featuring Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s testimony on $37.5 billion in costs incurred to date, underscored munitions replenishment and operational shortfalls. House passage of related frameworks and ongoing negotiations over offsets and a potential reconciliation path have reinforced trader assessments of a 77% implied probability for at least $20 billion clearing the chamber, even as the 60-vote threshold and partisan differences on war strategy persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 26, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
音量
$427終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration’s June 2026 request for roughly $87.6 billion in supplemental appropriations, including $67.1 billion for Department of Defense operations tied to the ongoing conflict with Iran, has driven Senate consideration of war-related funding ahead of the September 30 fiscal year-end. Senate Appropriations Committee hearings in July, featuring Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s testimony on $37.5 billion in costs incurred to date, underscored munitions replenishment and operational shortfalls. House passage of related frameworks and ongoing negotiations over offsets and a potential reconciliation path have reinforced trader assessments of a 77% implied probability for at least $20 billion clearing the chamber, even as the 60-vote threshold and partisan differences on war strategy persist.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$427終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s June 2026 request for roughly $87.6 billion in supplemental appropriations, including $67.1 billion for Department of Defense operations tied to the ongoing conflict with Iran, has driven Senate consideration of war-related funding ahead of the September 30 fiscal year-end. Senate Appropriations Committee hearings in July, featuring Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s testimony on $37.5 billion in costs incurred to date, underscored munitions replenishment and operational shortfalls. House passage of related frameworks and ongoing negotiations over offsets and a potential reconciliation path have reinforced trader assessments of a 77% implied probability for at least $20 billion clearing the chamber, even as the 60-vote threshold and partisan differences on war strategy persist.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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