Recent subscriber data showing Disney+ at roughly 132-135 million users through late 2025, combined with Disney's decision to stop disclosing individual streaming subscriber counts starting in fiscal 2026, has anchored trader consensus around the 78% probability for missing 150 million by September. Maturing streaming markets, slower quarterly additions after earlier rapid expansion, and competition from established platforms have limited user acquisition momentum, with no major content-driven surges or regulatory tailwinds evident in the past several months. Analysts note historical growth patterns suggest the required acceleration would demand exceptional performance unlikely before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2027/01/01
はい
新規
新規
2027/01/01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).Recent subscriber data showing Disney+ at roughly 132-135 million users through late 2025, combined with Disney's decision to stop disclosing individual streaming subscriber counts starting in fiscal 2026, has anchored trader consensus around the 78% probability for missing 150 million by September. Maturing streaming markets, slower quarterly additions after earlier rapid expansion, and competition from established platforms have limited user acquisition momentum, with no major content-driven surges or regulatory tailwinds evident in the past several months. Analysts note historical growth patterns suggest the required acceleration would demand exceptional performance unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
マーケット開始日： Jun 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
音量
$33終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).Recent subscriber data showing Disney+ at roughly 132-135 million users through late 2025, combined with Disney's decision to stop disclosing individual streaming subscriber counts starting in fiscal 2026, has anchored trader consensus around the 78% probability for missing 150 million by September. Maturing streaming markets, slower quarterly additions after earlier rapid expansion, and competition from established platforms have limited user acquisition momentum, with no major content-driven surges or regulatory tailwinds evident in the past several months. Analysts note historical growth patterns suggest the required acceleration would demand exceptional performance unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count.
If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).
音量
$33終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jun 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent subscriber data showing Disney+ at roughly 132-135 million users through late 2025, combined with Disney's decision to stop disclosing individual streaming subscriber counts starting in fiscal 2026, has anchored trader consensus around the 78% probability for missing 150 million by September. Maturing streaming markets, slower quarterly additions after earlier rapid expansion, and competition from established platforms have limited user acquisition momentum, with no major content-driven surges or regulatory tailwinds evident in the past several months. Analysts note historical growth patterns suggest the required acceleration would demand exceptional performance unlikely before the deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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