Rumors of a dark, potentially fatal conclusion have fueled speculation in the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market ahead of its July 31, 2026 release. Reports highlight test audience backlash to an ending described as “bad” with a major cliffhanger, alongside chatter that the film draws from Kraven’s Last Hunt, in which Spider-Man appears to die. Trailers emphasize Peter Parker’s isolation, a dangerous power evolution, and an unseen villain amid returning cast like Zendaya’s MJ and newcomers including Sadie Sink, Jon Bernthal’s Punisher, and Mark Ruffalo’s Hulk. Tom Holland has noted the mystery antagonist remains unguessable, while MCU Phase Six positioning raises stakes for legacy characters. Traders are watching for final marketing reveals or early reviews that could shift implied probabilities on who ultimately perishes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日スパイダーマン：ニュー・デイで死ぬのは誰だ？
スパイダーマン：ニュー・デイで死ぬのは誰だ？
$6,018 Vol.
2026/07/31
ピーター・パーカー（トム・ホランド）
いいえ
ミシェル「MJ」ジョーンズ
いいえ
ネッド・リーズ
いいえ
フランク・キャッスル
いいえ
ブルース・バナー
いいえ
マック・ガーガン
いいえ
ロニー・リンカーン
いいえ
$6,018 Vol.
ピーター・パーカー（トム・ホランド）
$1,736 Vol.
いいえ
ミシェル「MJ」ジョーンズ
$821 Vol.
いいえ
ネッド・リーズ
$615 Vol.
いいえ
フランク・キャッスル
$1,215 Vol.
いいえ
ブルース・バナー
$615 Vol.
いいえ
マック・ガーガン
$5 Vol.
いいえ
ロニー・リンカーン
$1,011 Vol.
いいえ
Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".Rumors of a dark, potentially fatal conclusion have fueled speculation in the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market ahead of its July 31, 2026 release. Reports highlight test audience backlash to an ending described as “bad” with a major cliffhanger, alongside chatter that the film draws from Kraven’s Last Hunt, in which Spider-Man appears to die. Trailers emphasize Peter Parker’s isolation, a dangerous power evolution, and an unseen villain amid returning cast like Zendaya’s MJ and newcomers including Sadie Sink, Jon Bernthal’s Punisher, and Mark Ruffalo’s Hulk. Tom Holland has noted the mystery antagonist remains unguessable, while MCU Phase Six positioning raises stakes for legacy characters. Traders are watching for final marketing reveals or early reviews that could shift implied probabilities on who ultimately perishes.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日： Jul 2, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
音量
$6,018終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".Rumors of a dark, potentially fatal conclusion have fueled speculation in the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market ahead of its July 31, 2026 release. Reports highlight test audience backlash to an ending described as “bad” with a major cliffhanger, alongside chatter that the film draws from Kraven’s Last Hunt, in which Spider-Man appears to die. Trailers emphasize Peter Parker’s isolation, a dangerous power evolution, and an unseen villain amid returning cast like Zendaya’s MJ and newcomers including Sadie Sink, Jon Bernthal’s Punisher, and Mark Ruffalo’s Hulk. Tom Holland has noted the mystery antagonist remains unguessable, while MCU Phase Six positioning raises stakes for legacy characters. Traders are watching for final marketing reveals or early reviews that could shift implied probabilities on who ultimately perishes.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day is scheduled to premiere on July 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Spider-Man: Brand New Day". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.).
If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will count toward resolution.
Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who are confirmed dead before "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" begins during the film will not count toward this market’s resolution.
If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" will qualify.
Only events depicted in the official "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" film will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official film, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, books, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the film itself. The market will resolve according to the initial theatrical release of "Spider-Man: Brand New Day".
If no theatrical release occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
音量
$6,018終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 2, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Rumors of a dark, potentially fatal conclusion have fueled speculation in the Spider-Man: Brand New Day market ahead of its July 31, 2026 release. Reports highlight test audience backlash to an ending described as “bad” with a major cliffhanger, alongside chatter that the film draws from Kraven’s Last Hunt, in which Spider-Man appears to die. Trailers emphasize Peter Parker’s isolation, a dangerous power evolution, and an unseen villain amid returning cast like Zendaya’s MJ and newcomers including Sadie Sink, Jon Bernthal’s Punisher, and Mark Ruffalo’s Hulk. Tom Holland has noted the mystery antagonist remains unguessable, while MCU Phase Six positioning raises stakes for legacy characters. Traders are watching for final marketing reveals or early reviews that could shift implied probabilities on who ultimately perishes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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