The June 2026 update to the Department of Defense’s Section 1260H list—adding 65 entities including Alibaba, Baidu, BYD, WuXi AppTec, CXMT, and Unitree Robotics while removing ten—reflects accelerated scrutiny of PRC military-civil fusion across AI, semiconductors, EVs, robotics, and biotech. This expansion to 188 total designations aligns with tightening DoD procurement restrictions effective June 30, 2026 (direct contracts) and June 30, 2027 (indirect goods/services), alongside the BIOSECURE Act’s focus on biotechnology suppliers. Traders are pricing in continued growth of the list through mid-2027 driven by ongoing US policy to limit PLA access to dual-use technologies, with sentiment shaped by the pace of future annual reviews, executive branch priorities, and any new congressional mandates targeting advanced tech sectors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
DeepSeek
24%

シャオミ
20%

バイトダンス
18%
$9,393 Vol.

DeepSeek
24%

シャオミ
20%

バイトダンス
18%
A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.
Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.
An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
マーケット開始日: Jul 13, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying addition occurs when the specified company that was unnamed in the list on June 8, 2026 (available here: https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/4511232/dow-releases-list-of-chinese-military-companies-in-accordance-with-section-1260/) appears on an updated official Section 1260H list.
A qualifying addition must be reflected in a subsequent list published by the U.S. Department of Defense in the Federal Register or on its official website, in an official DoD announcement or Federal Register notice of addition.
Addition of a subsidiary or parent company of the specified company will qualify.
An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
For the purposes of this market, a company’s status will be entirely determined by its presence on the aforementioned list. If the company is added but its status is unenforced, the addition will still qualify.
If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official information from the Department of Defense (https://www.defense.gov) (a.k.a. Department of War, https://www.war.gov).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The June 2026 update to the Department of Defense’s Section 1260H list—adding 65 entities including Alibaba, Baidu, BYD, WuXi AppTec, CXMT, and Unitree Robotics while removing ten—reflects accelerated scrutiny of PRC military-civil fusion across AI, semiconductors, EVs, robotics, and biotech. This expansion to 188 total designations aligns with tightening DoD procurement restrictions effective June 30, 2026 (direct contracts) and June 30, 2027 (indirect goods/services), alongside the BIOSECURE Act’s focus on biotechnology suppliers. Traders are pricing in continued growth of the list through mid-2027 driven by ongoing US policy to limit PLA access to dual-use technologies, with sentiment shaped by the pace of future annual reviews, executive branch priorities, and any new congressional mandates targeting advanced tech sectors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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