US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$179,103 Vol.
2026/08/31
ドナルド・トランプ
いいえ
マルコ・ルビオ
いいえ
J.D.バンス
いいえ
ジャレッド・クシュナー
いいえ
Steve Witkoff
No
Pete Hegseth
No
Abbas Araghchi
No
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
No
Mojtaba Khamenei
No
Masoud Pezeshkian
No
マジド・タクトラヴァンチ
いいえ
Kazem Gharibabadi
No
Ahmad Vahidi
No
Esmail Qaani
No
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
No
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
No
イシャク・ダール
いいえ
Rafael Grossi
No
ニック・スチュワート
いいえ
$179,103 Vol.
ドナルド・トランプ
$14,129 Vol.
いいえ
マルコ・ルビオ
$8,092 Vol.
いいえ
J.D.バンス
$25,409 Vol.
いいえ
ジャレッド・クシュナー
$28,640 Vol.
いいえ
Steve Witkoff
$27,627 Vol.
No
Pete Hegseth
$4,790 Vol.
No
Abbas Araghchi
$9,968 Vol.
No
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$13,930 Vol.
No
Mojtaba Khamenei
$8,115 Vol.
No
Masoud Pezeshkian
$8,722 Vol.
No
マジド・タクトラヴァンチ
$4,182 Vol.
いいえ
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,972 Vol.
No
Ahmad Vahidi
$9,727 Vol.
No
Esmail Qaani
$4,541 Vol.
No
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$2,304 Vol.
No
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$569 Vol.
No
イシャク・ダール
$3,178 Vol.
いいえ
Rafael Grossi
$1,430 Vol.
No
ニック・スチュワート
$1,777 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
音量
$179,103終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$179,103終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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