Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening in late July has locked in the year’s top spot, shifting trader focus squarely to which upcoming release can claim second place. Avengers: Doomsday’s December 18 holiday slot, massive ensemble including Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, and early presales exceeding $35 million underpin its slim 46.5% market edge, with projections centering on $260–300 million. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s own 44.5% odds reflect residual franchise momentum despite already topping the chart. The broad 50% pricing across other 2026 titles signals fragmented expectations, as no film has yet demonstrated comparable tracking or release positioning to challenge the frontrunners. Key catalysts ahead include Doomsday’s final marketing push and any late-year surprises from remaining wide releases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2026年に公開週末が2番目に多い映画はどれですか？
2026年に公開週末が2番目に多い映画はどれですか？
Avengers: Doomsday 47%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 45%
Dune: Messiah <1%
Toy Story 5 <1%
$107,526 Vol.
$107,526 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
47%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
45%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 47%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 45%
Dune: Messiah <1%
Toy Story 5 <1%
$107,526 Vol.
$107,526 Vol.
2026/12/31
Avengers: Doomsday
$43,529 Vol.
47%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$53,664 Vol.
45%
Dune: Messiah
$5,892 Vol.
<1%
Toy Story 5
$2,679 Vol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening in late July has locked in the year’s top spot, shifting trader focus squarely to which upcoming release can claim second place. Avengers: Doomsday’s December 18 holiday slot, massive ensemble including Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, and early presales exceeding $35 million underpin its slim 46.5% market edge, with projections centering on $260–300 million. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s own 44.5% odds reflect residual franchise momentum despite already topping the chart. The broad 50% pricing across other 2026 titles signals fragmented expectations, as no film has yet demonstrated comparable tracking or release positioning to challenge the frontrunners. Key catalysts ahead include Doomsday’s final marketing push and any late-year surprises from remaining wide releases.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
音量
$107,526終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening in late July has locked in the year’s top spot, shifting trader focus squarely to which upcoming release can claim second place. Avengers: Doomsday’s December 18 holiday slot, massive ensemble including Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, and early presales exceeding $35 million underpin its slim 46.5% market edge, with projections centering on $260–300 million. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s own 44.5% odds reflect residual franchise momentum despite already topping the chart. The broad 50% pricing across other 2026 titles signals fragmented expectations, as no film has yet demonstrated comparable tracking or release positioning to challenge the frontrunners. Key catalysts ahead include Doomsday’s final marketing push and any late-year surprises from remaining wide releases.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$107,526終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-shattering $360 million domestic opening in late July has locked in the year’s top spot, shifting trader focus squarely to which upcoming release can claim second place. Avengers: Doomsday’s December 18 holiday slot, massive ensemble including Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom, and early presales exceeding $35 million underpin its slim 46.5% market edge, with projections centering on $260–300 million. Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s own 44.5% odds reflect residual franchise momentum despite already topping the chart. The broad 50% pricing across other 2026 titles signals fragmented expectations, as no film has yet demonstrated comparable tracking or release positioning to challenge the frontrunners. Key catalysts ahead include Doomsday’s final marketing push and any late-year surprises from remaining wide releases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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