Anthropic's Claude models, including Fable 5 and Opus variants, currently dominate the Text Arena Math leaderboard with the highest Elo scores and user votes, driving the 93.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from consistent top rankings across math-focused comparisons, where their large language models demonstrate superior step-by-step reasoning, explanation quality, and performance on benchmarks like MATH-500. Recent OpenAI announcements around the Astra model solving open math problems have yet to shift Arena standings meaningfully. A late-August release or public benchmark breakthrough from OpenAI, Google, or another lab could narrow the gap if it outperforms in live voting before month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 93%
OpenAI 6.1%
Google 1.7%
アリババ <1%
$85,094 Vol.
$85,094 Vol.
2026/08/31
Anthropic
93%
OpenAI
6%
2%
アリババ
1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
百度
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
ムーンショット
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
美団（Meituan）
<1%
Amazon
<1%
バイトダンス
<1%
Mistral
<1%
テンセント
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93%
OpenAI 6.1%
Google 1.7%
アリババ <1%
$85,094 Vol.
$85,094 Vol.
2026/08/31
Anthropic
$28,260 Vol.
93%
OpenAI
$11,228 Vol.
6%
$17,661 Vol.
2%
アリババ
$8,773 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
百度
$4,432 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$3,148 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$372 Vol.
<1%
ムーンショット
$372 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$494 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$1,079 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,125 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,122 Vol.
<1%
美団（Meituan）
$553 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$451 Vol.
<1%
バイトダンス
$495 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$372 Vol.
<1%
テンセント
$564 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$531 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$372 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude models, including Fable 5 and Opus variants, currently dominate the Text Arena Math leaderboard with the highest Elo scores and user votes, driving the 93.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from consistent top rankings across math-focused comparisons, where their large language models demonstrate superior step-by-step reasoning, explanation quality, and performance on benchmarks like MATH-500. Recent OpenAI announcements around the Astra model solving open math problems have yet to shift Arena standings meaningfully. A late-August release or public benchmark breakthrough from OpenAI, Google, or another lab could narrow the gap if it outperforms in live voting before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日： Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ET
音量
$85,094終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude models, including Fable 5 and Opus variants, currently dominate the Text Arena Math leaderboard with the highest Elo scores and user votes, driving the 93.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from consistent top rankings across math-focused comparisons, where their large language models demonstrate superior step-by-step reasoning, explanation quality, and performance on benchmarks like MATH-500. Recent OpenAI announcements around the Astra model solving open math problems have yet to shift Arena standings meaningfully. A late-August release or public benchmark breakthrough from OpenAI, Google, or another lab could narrow the gap if it outperforms in live voting before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
音量
$85,094終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETAnthropic's Claude models, including Fable 5 and Opus variants, currently dominate the Text Arena Math leaderboard with the highest Elo scores and user votes, driving the 93.5% market-implied probability. This positioning stems from consistent top rankings across math-focused comparisons, where their large language models demonstrate superior step-by-step reasoning, explanation quality, and performance on benchmarks like MATH-500. Recent OpenAI announcements around the Astra model solving open math problems have yet to shift Arena standings meaningfully. A late-August release or public benchmark breakthrough from OpenAI, Google, or another lab could narrow the gap if it outperforms in live voting before month-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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