Anthropic holds a modest lead in trader sentiment for the top LiveBench Mathematics model by end of October, driven by Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1 variants posting strong results on recent math benchmarks including a perfect IMO 2026 score and competitive LiveBench category performance. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and related releases remain close contenders through consistent high scores on dynamic, contamination-resistant tasks. Chinese labs such as Z.AI (GLM-5 series), Moonshot (Kimi K2.6), and DeepSeek continue advancing specialized math capabilities on AIME26 and FrontierMath, creating uncertainty in a fast-moving field where new model drops or fine-tunes can quickly alter relative standings before the October snapshot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic 56%
OpenAI 43%
Google 1.5%
Meta <1%
$19,263 Vol.
$19,263 Vol.
2026/10/31
Anthropic
56%
OpenAI
43%
2%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
マイクロソフト
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
ミストラル
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
ステップファン
<1%
Anthropic 56%
OpenAI 43%
Google 1.5%
Meta <1%
$19,263 Vol.
$19,263 Vol.
2026/10/31
Anthropic
$4,259 Vol.
56%
OpenAI
$5,505 Vol.
43%
$1,164 Vol.
2%
Meta
$501 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$475 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$286 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$390 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$858 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$253 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$518 Vol.
<1%
マイクロソフト
$509 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$479 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$586 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$454 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$386 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$562 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$483 Vol.
<1%
ミストラル
$513 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$283 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$339 Vol.
<1%
ステップファン
$459 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds a modest lead in trader sentiment for the top LiveBench Mathematics model by end of October, driven by Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1 variants posting strong results on recent math benchmarks including a perfect IMO 2026 score and competitive LiveBench category performance. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and related releases remain close contenders through consistent high scores on dynamic, contamination-resistant tasks. Chinese labs such as Z.AI (GLM-5 series), Moonshot (Kimi K2.6), and DeepSeek continue advancing specialized math capabilities on AIME26 and FrontierMath, creating uncertainty in a fast-moving field where new model drops or fine-tunes can quickly alter relative standings before the October snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
マーケット開始日： Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
音量
$19,263終了日
2026/11/01マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds a modest lead in trader sentiment for the top LiveBench Mathematics model by end of October, driven by Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1 variants posting strong results on recent math benchmarks including a perfect IMO 2026 score and competitive LiveBench category performance. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and related releases remain close contenders through consistent high scores on dynamic, contamination-resistant tasks. Chinese labs such as Z.AI (GLM-5 series), Moonshot (Kimi K2.6), and DeepSeek continue advancing specialized math capabilities on AIME26 and FrontierMath, creating uncertainty in a fast-moving field where new model drops or fine-tunes can quickly alter relative standings before the October snapshot.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
音量
$19,263終了日
2026/11/01マーケット開始日
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a modest lead in trader sentiment for the top LiveBench Mathematics model by end of October, driven by Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1 variants posting strong results on recent math benchmarks including a perfect IMO 2026 score and competitive LiveBench category performance. OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and related releases remain close contenders through consistent high scores on dynamic, contamination-resistant tasks. Chinese labs such as Z.AI (GLM-5 series), Moonshot (Kimi K2.6), and DeepSeek continue advancing specialized math capabilities on AIME26 and FrontierMath, creating uncertainty in a fast-moving field where new model drops or fine-tunes can quickly alter relative standings before the October snapshot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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