**Strong summer performance anchored by tentpole releases positions 2026 for a mid-tier ranking among all-time domestic years.** The season through Labor Day reached a record $4.76 billion, narrowly topping 2013 and marking the first time each summer month exceeded $1 billion, fueled by *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* (nearing $924 million domestically), Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* (over $589 million), and *Toy Story 5* (around $480 million). This momentum has lifted year-to-date totals to roughly $7.3 billion as of early September, outpacing 2025 and 2024 at similar points while trailing pre-pandemic peaks like 2019’s $11.36 billion. Analysts project a final haul near or above $9–9.5 billion if fall and holiday releases sustain the pace, which would place the year among the strongest post-pandemic results but unlikely to crack the top tier of nominal all-time leaders. Key upcoming catalysts include holiday blockbusters and any late-year surprises that could shift momentum before year-end totals lock in. Market-implied odds reflect this competitive but constrained outlook, with traders assigning the highest probability to a 10th–12th finish.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
10th-12th 66%
6th or higher 21%
7th-9th 11%
13th-15th 4%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
6th or higher
21%
7th-9th
11%
10th-12th
66%
13th-15th
4%
Below 15th
4%
10th-12th 66%
6th or higher 21%
7th-9th 11%
13th-15th 4%
新規
新規
2026/12/31
6th or higher
$5,813 Vol.
21%
7th-9th
$803 Vol.
11%
10th-12th
$2,235 Vol.
66%
13th-15th
$289 Vol.
4%
Below 15th
$286 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong summer performance anchored by tentpole releases positions 2026 for a mid-tier ranking among all-time domestic years.** The season through Labor Day reached a record $4.76 billion, narrowly topping 2013 and marking the first time each summer month exceeded $1 billion, fueled by *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* (nearing $924 million domestically), Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* (over $589 million), and *Toy Story 5* (around $480 million). This momentum has lifted year-to-date totals to roughly $7.3 billion as of early September, outpacing 2025 and 2024 at similar points while trailing pre-pandemic peaks like 2019’s $11.36 billion.
Analysts project a final haul near or above $9–9.5 billion if fall and holiday releases sustain the pace, which would place the year among the strongest post-pandemic results but unlikely to crack the top tier of nominal all-time leaders. Key upcoming catalysts include holiday blockbusters and any late-year surprises that could shift momentum before year-end totals lock in. Market-implied odds reflect this competitive but constrained outlook, with traders assigning the highest probability to a 10th–12th finish.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
音量
$9,426終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong summer performance anchored by tentpole releases positions 2026 for a mid-tier ranking among all-time domestic years.** The season through Labor Day reached a record $4.76 billion, narrowly topping 2013 and marking the first time each summer month exceeded $1 billion, fueled by *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* (nearing $924 million domestically), Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* (over $589 million), and *Toy Story 5* (around $480 million). This momentum has lifted year-to-date totals to roughly $7.3 billion as of early September, outpacing 2025 and 2024 at similar points while trailing pre-pandemic peaks like 2019’s $11.36 billion.
Analysts project a final haul near or above $9–9.5 billion if fall and holiday releases sustain the pace, which would place the year among the strongest post-pandemic results but unlikely to crack the top tier of nominal all-time leaders. Key upcoming catalysts include holiday blockbusters and any late-year surprises that could shift momentum before year-end totals lock in. Market-implied odds reflect this competitive but constrained outlook, with traders assigning the highest probability to a 10th–12th finish.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$9,426終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Strong summer performance anchored by tentpole releases positions 2026 for a mid-tier ranking among all-time domestic years.** The season through Labor Day reached a record $4.76 billion, narrowly topping 2013 and marking the first time each summer month exceeded $1 billion, fueled by *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* (nearing $924 million domestically), Christopher Nolan’s *The Odyssey* (over $589 million), and *Toy Story 5* (around $480 million). This momentum has lifted year-to-date totals to roughly $7.3 billion as of early September, outpacing 2025 and 2024 at similar points while trailing pre-pandemic peaks like 2019’s $11.36 billion. Analysts project a final haul near or above $9–9.5 billion if fall and holiday releases sustain the pace, which would place the year among the strongest post-pandemic results but unlikely to crack the top tier of nominal all-time leaders. Key upcoming catalysts include holiday blockbusters and any late-year surprises that could shift momentum before year-end totals lock in. Market-implied odds reflect this competitive but constrained outlook, with traders assigning the highest probability to a 10th–12th finish.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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