Recent federal workforce reductions and elevated mortgage rates around 6.7% have increased DC Metro inventory while softening buyer demand, anchoring trader sentiment around the $518K–$524K range at 36.1% implied probability. Median sale prices in the broader metro area hovered near $585K earlier in 2026, with forecasts pointing to modest 1% softening to approximately $617K amid higher listings and slower sales. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on continued cooling through September, tempered by resilient detached-home segments and any potential rate relief. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming employment data and FOMC communications that could shift rate expectations and housing affordability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$518K～$524K 36.2%
$536K - $542K 20%
$524K〜$530K 18.9%
$530K - $536K 18.8%
$19,509 Vol.
$19,509 Vol.
2026/09/30
$512K未満
3%
$512K - $518K
6%
$518K～$524K
36%
$524K〜$530K
19%
$530K - $536K
10%
$536K - $542K
20%
54万2千ドル以上
2%
$518K～$524K 36.2%
$536K - $542K 20%
$524K〜$530K 18.9%
$530K - $536K 18.8%
$19,509 Vol.
$19,509 Vol.
2026/09/30
$512K未満
$807 Vol.
3%
$512K - $518K
$865 Vol.
6%
$518K～$524K
$4,793 Vol.
36%
$524K〜$530K
$2,079 Vol.
19%
$530K - $536K
$2,096 Vol.
10%
$536K - $542K
$4,786 Vol.
20%
54万2千ドル以上
$4,082 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent federal workforce reductions and elevated mortgage rates around 6.7% have increased DC Metro inventory while softening buyer demand, anchoring trader sentiment around the $518K–$524K range at 36.1% implied probability. Median sale prices in the broader metro area hovered near $585K earlier in 2026, with forecasts pointing to modest 1% softening to approximately $617K amid higher listings and slower sales. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on continued cooling through September, tempered by resilient detached-home segments and any potential rate relief. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming employment data and FOMC communications that could shift rate expectations and housing affordability.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
音量
$19,509終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent federal workforce reductions and elevated mortgage rates around 6.7% have increased DC Metro inventory while softening buyer demand, anchoring trader sentiment around the $518K–$524K range at 36.1% implied probability. Median sale prices in the broader metro area hovered near $585K earlier in 2026, with forecasts pointing to modest 1% softening to approximately $617K amid higher listings and slower sales. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on continued cooling through September, tempered by resilient detached-home segments and any potential rate relief. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming employment data and FOMC communications that could shift rate expectations and housing affordability.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
音量
$19,509終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent federal workforce reductions and elevated mortgage rates around 6.7% have increased DC Metro inventory while softening buyer demand, anchoring trader sentiment around the $518K–$524K range at 36.1% implied probability. Median sale prices in the broader metro area hovered near $585K earlier in 2026, with forecasts pointing to modest 1% softening to approximately $617K amid higher listings and slower sales. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on continued cooling through September, tempered by resilient detached-home segments and any potential rate relief. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming employment data and FOMC communications that could shift rate expectations and housing affordability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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