Skip to main content
icon for テキサス州オースティン大都市圏の6月30日の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
エコノミー·不動産

テキサス州オースティン大都市圏の6月30日の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？

icon for テキサス州オースティン大都市圏の6月30日の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
エコノミー·不動産

テキサス州オースティン大都市圏の6月30日の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？

$48万1,000未満 99.6%

$481,000 - $484,000 <1%

$484k ～ $487k <1%

$493k - $495k <1%

Polymarket

$6,308 Vol.

$48万1,000未満 99.6%

$481,000 - $484,000 <1%

$484k ～ $487k <1%

$493k - $495k <1%

Polymarket

$6,308 Vol.

$481,000 - $484,000

$680 Vol.

いいえ

$484k ～ $487k

$1,047 Vol.

いいえ

$493k - $495k

$666 Vol.

いいえ

49万ドル～49万3,000ドル

$641 Vol.

いいえ

$495k超

$1,189 Vol.

いいえ

$487k - $490k

$668 Vol.

いいえ

$48万1,000未満

$1,417 Vol.

はい

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
音量
$6,308
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Austin's housing market continues to reflect a buyer-favored correction, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $495,000-$510,000 as of late May 2026 and median sales prices reported between $440,000 and $542,000 depending on the metro versus city metric. Elevated inventory levels around six months, elevated mortgage rates constraining affordability, and year-over-year price declines of 2-6% position the sub-$481,000 outcome as the market-implied favorite at 46.5% probability. Recent MLS data showing increased price reductions, longer days on market near 60-74, and modest sales volume gains without corresponding price recovery reinforce downward pressure through the June 30 resolution. The 19% odds on values above $495,000 capture residual uncertainty around any late-month stabilization, while narrower bins reflect tighter clustering around current levels.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
音量
$6,308
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)

提案された結果: いいえ

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: いいえ

関連

icon for 9月30日時点でオースティン都市圏の住宅中央値は$446,000未満になりますか？

9月30日時点でオースティン都市圏の住宅中央値は$446,000未満になりますか？

47%
はい
icon for サンフランシスコ都市圏の中央値住宅価格は9月30日に$1,176,000未満となりますか？

サンフランシスコ都市圏の中央値住宅価格は9月30日に$1,176,000未満となりますか？

36%
はい
icon for 9月30日時点で、米国の中央値住宅価格は$426,000から$433,000の間になりますか？

9月30日時点で、米国の中央値住宅価格は$426,000から$433,000の間になりますか？

37%
はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「テキサス州オースティン大都市圏の6月30日の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「$48万1,000未満」で100%、次いで「$487k - $490k」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「テキサス州オースティン大都市圏の6月30日の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jun 2, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「テキサス州オースティン大都市圏の6月30日の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「テキサス州オースティン大都市圏の6月30日の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「$48万1,000未満」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「$487k - $490k」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「テキサス州オースティン大都市圏の6月30日の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。