Recent modest year-over-year appreciation in New York City home values, supported by persistent supply constraints and steady buyer demand despite mortgage rates holding near 6%, has anchored trader sentiment around the $636K–$663K bracket at 51.9% implied probability. Zillow Home Value Index data through June 2026 show NYC values near $823K with 3–4% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $876K through May amid rising but still limited inventory. With only weeks until the September 30 resolution, the closely clustered $609K–$636K range at 38.6% reflects expectations for continued stability rather than sharp moves, as broader U.S. housing forecasts point to flat-to-modest national price trends through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$636K～$663K 52.0%
$609K - $636K 36.4%
$663K〜$689K 9.4%
$582K - $609K 3.5%
$27,816 Vol.
$27,816 Vol.
2026/09/30
$555K未満
1%
$555K - $582K
3%
$582K - $609K
3%
$609K - $636K
36%
$636K～$663K
52%
$663K〜$689K
9%
$689K以上
2%
$636K～$663K 52.0%
$609K - $636K 36.4%
$663K〜$689K 9.4%
$582K - $609K 3.5%
$27,816 Vol.
$27,816 Vol.
2026/09/30
$555K未満
$435 Vol.
1%
$555K - $582K
$1,650 Vol.
3%
$582K - $609K
$353 Vol.
3%
$609K - $636K
$5,728 Vol.
36%
$636K～$663K
$18,648 Vol.
52%
$663K〜$689K
$438 Vol.
9%
$689K以上
$564 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent modest year-over-year appreciation in New York City home values, supported by persistent supply constraints and steady buyer demand despite mortgage rates holding near 6%, has anchored trader sentiment around the $636K–$663K bracket at 51.9% implied probability. Zillow Home Value Index data through June 2026 show NYC values near $823K with 3–4% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $876K through May amid rising but still limited inventory. With only weeks until the September 30 resolution, the closely clustered $609K–$636K range at 38.6% reflects expectations for continued stability rather than sharp moves, as broader U.S. housing forecasts point to flat-to-modest national price trends through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
音量
$27,816終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent modest year-over-year appreciation in New York City home values, supported by persistent supply constraints and steady buyer demand despite mortgage rates holding near 6%, has anchored trader sentiment around the $636K–$663K bracket at 51.9% implied probability. Zillow Home Value Index data through June 2026 show NYC values near $823K with 3–4% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $876K through May amid rising but still limited inventory. With only weeks until the September 30 resolution, the closely clustered $609K–$636K range at 38.6% reflects expectations for continued stability rather than sharp moves, as broader U.S. housing forecasts point to flat-to-modest national price trends through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
音量
$27,816終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent modest year-over-year appreciation in New York City home values, supported by persistent supply constraints and steady buyer demand despite mortgage rates holding near 6%, has anchored trader sentiment around the $636K–$663K bracket at 51.9% implied probability. Zillow Home Value Index data through June 2026 show NYC values near $823K with 3–4% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $876K through May amid rising but still limited inventory. With only weeks until the September 30 resolution, the closely clustered $609K–$636K range at 38.6% reflects expectations for continued stability rather than sharp moves, as broader U.S. housing forecasts point to flat-to-modest national price trends through year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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