Recent Miami housing data show modest softening in median sale prices to around $550K-$650K through mid-2026 amid elevated inventory in condos and longer days on market, yet the $1.089M-$1.125M range holds 51.5% implied probability due to resilient luxury single-family demand from international buyers, constrained land supply, and ongoing domestic migration. Higher insurance costs, mortgage rates near recent peaks, and condo market headwinds have tempered broader appreciation, aligning trader consensus with stabilization near current Zillow and Redfin benchmarks rather than sharp gains or declines. Key upcoming releases on August-September sales volume and pending rate decisions could refine these probabilities before September 30 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1.089M〜$1.125M 52%
$1.053M~$1.089M 28%
$1.125M - $1.161M 12.9%
$1.017M未満 4.7%
$51,203 Vol.
$51,203 Vol.
$1.017M未満
5%
$1.017M - $1.053M
2%
$1.053M~$1.089M
28%
$1.089M〜$1.125M
52%
$1.125M - $1.161M
13%
$1.161M - $1.196M
4%
$1.196M以上
3%
$1.089M〜$1.125M 52%
$1.053M~$1.089M 28%
$1.125M - $1.161M 12.9%
$1.017M未満 4.7%
$51,203 Vol.
$51,203 Vol.
$1.017M未満
5%
$1.017M - $1.053M
2%
$1.053M~$1.089M
28%
$1.089M〜$1.125M
52%
$1.125M - $1.161M
13%
$1.161M - $1.196M
4%
$1.196M以上
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
マーケット開始日: Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Miami housing data show modest softening in median sale prices to around $550K-$650K through mid-2026 amid elevated inventory in condos and longer days on market, yet the $1.089M-$1.125M range holds 51.5% implied probability due to resilient luxury single-family demand from international buyers, constrained land supply, and ongoing domestic migration. Higher insurance costs, mortgage rates near recent peaks, and condo market headwinds have tempered broader appreciation, aligning trader consensus with stabilization near current Zillow and Redfin benchmarks rather than sharp gains or declines. Key upcoming releases on August-September sales volume and pending rate decisions could refine these probabilities before September 30 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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