Recent Zillow home value data showing Chicago-area figures near $338,000 as of late July 2026, supported by 4–7% year-over-year appreciation, underpins the 37% market-implied odds on the $335K–$340K bracket. Persistent low inventory, limited new listings, and resilient buyer demand—bolstered by corporate relocations and economic diversity—have sustained price momentum despite mortgage rates above 6%. Traders appear to price in modest near-term gains through September 30 amid seasonal patterns and stable labor conditions, while assigning lower probability to sharper moves outside the central range given cooling national forecasts and ongoing affordability constraints.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$335K - $340K 37%
34万ドル〜34万5千ドル 21%
325,000ドル - 330,000ドル 13.8%
$330K - $335K 11.8%
$77,142 Vol.
$77,142 Vol.
32万ドル未満
1%
32万ドル~32万5千ドル
1%
325,000ドル - 330,000ドル
14%
$330K - $335K
12%
$335K - $340K
37%
34万ドル〜34万5千ドル
21%
$345K以上
10%
$335K - $340K 37%
34万ドル〜34万5千ドル 21%
325,000ドル - 330,000ドル 13.8%
$330K - $335K 11.8%
$77,142 Vol.
$77,142 Vol.
32万ドル未満
1%
32万ドル~32万5千ドル
1%
325,000ドル - 330,000ドル
14%
$330K - $335K
12%
$335K - $340K
37%
34万ドル〜34万5千ドル
21%
$345K以上
10%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
マーケット開始日: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow home value data showing Chicago-area figures near $338,000 as of late July 2026, supported by 4–7% year-over-year appreciation, underpins the 37% market-implied odds on the $335K–$340K bracket. Persistent low inventory, limited new listings, and resilient buyer demand—bolstered by corporate relocations and economic diversity—have sustained price momentum despite mortgage rates above 6%. Traders appear to price in modest near-term gains through September 30 amid seasonal patterns and stable labor conditions, while assigning lower probability to sharper moves outside the central range given cooling national forecasts and ongoing affordability constraints.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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