Keir Starmer’s likely penultimate PMQs appearance on July 1 highlighted defence spending as the dominant theme, with traders tracking how the outgoing prime minister framed the funding gap ahead of Andy Burnham’s expected transition. Recent clashes with opposition leader Kemi Badenoch over military investment and the Makerfield by-election fallout have shaped expectations for the next session, likely July 8. Historical patterns show PMQs often pivot to current crises or legacy messaging, while Starmer’s resignation timeline adds uncertainty around tone and specific phrasing. Traders weigh these political “plot twists” and precursor exchanges against the short window before any handover, noting that last-minute events or opposition tactics could shift focus rapidly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,674 Vol.
2026/07/08
Mr. Speaker 20+ times
Yes
Mr. Speaker 30+ times
Yes
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times
No
Thank 10+ times
Yes
NHS 3+ times
No
Crime / Criminal
No
Hate / Hatred
Yes
Violent / Violence
Yes
Urgent
No
Defense
Yes
Scotland
No
Northern Ireland
No
Constituent / Constituency
Yes
Shadow
No
Europe
No
United States
No
Trump
Yes
Record Funding
No
Record Investment
Yes
Condolences
Yes
Poverty
Yes
Waiting List
Yes
Russia / Ukraine
Yes
Victim
No
World Cup
Yes
Labour
Yes
Public
Yes
Social Media
Yes
Ban
No
-No Qualifying Event-
No
$25,674 Vol.
Mr. Speaker 20+ times
$1,308 Vol.
Yes
Mr. Speaker 30+ times
$7,649 Vol.
Yes
Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times
$564 Vol.
No
Thank 10+ times
$1,107 Vol.
Yes
NHS 3+ times
$416 Vol.
No
Crime / Criminal
$616 Vol.
No
Hate / Hatred
$323 Vol.
Yes
Violent / Violence
$305 Vol.
Yes
Urgent
$272 Vol.
No
Defense
$241 Vol.
Yes
Scotland
$125 Vol.
No
Northern Ireland
$954 Vol.
No
Constituent / Constituency
$577 Vol.
Yes
Shadow
$278 Vol.
No
Europe
$1,043 Vol.
No
United States
$416 Vol.
No
Trump
$732 Vol.
Yes
Record Funding
$500 Vol.
No
Record Investment
$257 Vol.
Yes
Condolences
$794 Vol.
Yes
Poverty
$590 Vol.
Yes
Waiting List
$412 Vol.
Yes
Russia / Ukraine
$599 Vol.
Yes
Victim
$209 Vol.
No
World Cup
$1,542 Vol.
Yes
Labour
$643 Vol.
Yes
Public
$345 Vol.
Yes
Social Media
$589 Vol.
Yes
Ban
$1,046 Vol.
No
-No Qualifying Event-
$1,221 Vol.
No
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Starmer does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKeir Starmer’s likely penultimate PMQs appearance on July 1 highlighted defence spending as the dominant theme, with traders tracking how the outgoing prime minister framed the funding gap ahead of Andy Burnham’s expected transition. Recent clashes with opposition leader Kemi Badenoch over military investment and the Makerfield by-election fallout have shaped expectations for the next session, likely July 8. Historical patterns show PMQs often pivot to current crises or legacy messaging, while Starmer’s resignation timeline adds uncertainty around tone and specific phrasing. Traders weigh these political “plot twists” and precursor exchanges against the short window before any handover, noting that last-minute events or opposition tactics could shift focus rapidly.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Starmer does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Starmer does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
マーケット開始日： Jul 3, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
音量
$25,674終了日
2026/07/08マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Starmer does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKeir Starmer’s likely penultimate PMQs appearance on July 1 highlighted defence spending as the dominant theme, with traders tracking how the outgoing prime minister framed the funding gap ahead of Andy Burnham’s expected transition. Recent clashes with opposition leader Kemi Badenoch over military investment and the Makerfield by-election fallout have shaped expectations for the next session, likely July 8. Historical patterns show PMQs often pivot to current crises or legacy messaging, while Starmer’s resignation timeline adds uncertainty around tone and specific phrasing. Traders weigh these political “plot twists” and precursor exchanges against the short window before any handover, noting that last-minute events or opposition tactics could shift focus rapidly.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Starmer does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Starmer does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
音量
$25,674終了日
2026/07/08マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Keir Starmer’s likely penultimate PMQs appearance on July 1 highlighted defence spending as the dominant theme, with traders tracking how the outgoing prime minister framed the funding gap ahead of Andy Burnham’s expected transition. Recent clashes with opposition leader Kemi Badenoch over military investment and the Makerfield by-election fallout have shaped expectations for the next session, likely July 8. Historical patterns show PMQs often pivot to current crises or legacy messaging, while Starmer’s resignation timeline adds uncertainty around tone and specific phrasing. Traders weigh these political “plot twists” and precursor exchanges against the short window before any handover, noting that last-minute events or opposition tactics could shift focus rapidly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問