**UK GDP growth expectations for Q3 2026 center on subdued quarterly expansion amid the drag from elevated energy prices and uncertainty linked to the Middle East conflict.** Official data showed Q2 expanding 0.4% quarter-on-quarter after 0.6% in Q1, while the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projected underlying growth near 0% for Q3 as higher energy costs erode real household incomes, tighten financial conditions, and weigh on consumer spending and business confidence. Treasury-compiled economist forecasts point to a 0.2% median outcome, aligning with the market-implied concentration around the 0.2–0.3% and 0.4–0.5% ranges. Persistent inflation above 3% and a softening labor market reinforce downside risks, limiting probabilities for stronger readings. The first Q3 estimate is scheduled for November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日0.2～0.3％ 42%
0.4〜0.5％ 27%
0.0～0.1% 22%
マイナス 6%
$18,873 Vol.
$18,873 Vol.
2026/11/11
マイナス
6%
0.0～0.1%
22%
0.2～0.3％
42%
0.4〜0.5％
27%
0.6～0.7％
5%
0.8～0.9％
1%
1.0％以上
2%
0.2～0.3％ 42%
0.4〜0.5％ 27%
0.0～0.1% 22%
マイナス 6%
$18,873 Vol.
$18,873 Vol.
2026/11/11
マイナス
$4,009 Vol.
6%
0.0～0.1%
$5,808 Vol.
22%
0.2～0.3％
$6,689 Vol.
42%
0.4〜0.5％
$1,674 Vol.
27%
0.6～0.7％
$265 Vol.
5%
0.8～0.9％
$196 Vol.
1%
1.0％以上
$232 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**UK GDP growth expectations for Q3 2026 center on subdued quarterly expansion amid the drag from elevated energy prices and uncertainty linked to the Middle East conflict.** Official data showed Q2 expanding 0.4% quarter-on-quarter after 0.6% in Q1, while the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projected underlying growth near 0% for Q3 as higher energy costs erode real household incomes, tighten financial conditions, and weigh on consumer spending and business confidence. Treasury-compiled economist forecasts point to a 0.2% median outcome, aligning with the market-implied concentration around the 0.2–0.3% and 0.4–0.5% ranges. Persistent inflation above 3% and a softening labor market reinforce downside risks, limiting probabilities for stronger readings. The first Q3 estimate is scheduled for November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ET
音量
$18,873終了日
2026/11/12マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.**UK GDP growth expectations for Q3 2026 center on subdued quarterly expansion amid the drag from elevated energy prices and uncertainty linked to the Middle East conflict.** Official data showed Q2 expanding 0.4% quarter-on-quarter after 0.6% in Q1, while the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projected underlying growth near 0% for Q3 as higher energy costs erode real household incomes, tighten financial conditions, and weigh on consumer spending and business confidence. Treasury-compiled economist forecasts point to a 0.2% median outcome, aligning with the market-implied concentration around the 0.2–0.3% and 0.4–0.5% ranges. Persistent inflation above 3% and a softening labor market reinforce downside risks, limiting probabilities for stronger readings. The first Q3 estimate is scheduled for November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$18,873終了日
2026/11/12マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 1:43 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**UK GDP growth expectations for Q3 2026 center on subdued quarterly expansion amid the drag from elevated energy prices and uncertainty linked to the Middle East conflict.** Official data showed Q2 expanding 0.4% quarter-on-quarter after 0.6% in Q1, while the Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projected underlying growth near 0% for Q3 as higher energy costs erode real household incomes, tighten financial conditions, and weigh on consumer spending and business confidence. Treasury-compiled economist forecasts point to a 0.2% median outcome, aligning with the market-implied concentration around the 0.2–0.3% and 0.4–0.5% ranges. Persistent inflation above 3% and a softening labor market reinforce downside risks, limiting probabilities for stronger readings. The first Q3 estimate is scheduled for November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問