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icon for トランプ氏、12月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?

トランプ氏、12月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?

icon for トランプ氏、12月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?

トランプ氏、12月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?

はい

5% 確率
Polymarket

$95,953 Vol.

はい

5% 確率
Polymarket

$95,953 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high trader consensus against Trump renaming the Strait of Hormuz by December 31 stems from fundamental limits on unilateral U.S. executive authority over international geographic features. Official renaming of a strategic waterway bordered by Iran, Oman, and the UAE requires multilateral coordination through bodies such as the International Hydrographic Organization, updates to global nautical charts, and acceptance by affected states—processes that cannot be completed via executive order alone in the remaining months. No public statements, policy announcements, or legislative proposals have indicated movement toward this outcome. Realistic shifts remain possible only through an unexpected symbolic directive or diplomatic initiative that gains rapid international traction, though historical precedent shows such changes typically unfold over years rather than weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$95,953
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high trader consensus against Trump renaming the Strait of Hormuz by December 31 stems from fundamental limits on unilateral U.S. executive authority over international geographic features. Official renaming of a strategic waterway bordered by Iran, Oman, and the UAE requires multilateral coordination through bodies such as the International Hydrographic Organization, updates to global nautical charts, and acceptance by affected states—processes that cannot be completed via executive order alone in the remaining months. No public statements, policy announcements, or legislative proposals have indicated movement toward this outcome. Realistic shifts remain possible only through an unexpected symbolic directive or diplomatic initiative that gains rapid international traction, though historical precedent shows such changes typically unfold over years rather than weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$95,953
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 18, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「トランプ氏、12月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプがホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改名するのは12月31日まで?」で4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、4¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に4%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ氏、12月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?」は$96Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 18, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ氏、12月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「トランプ氏、12月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?」の現在のリーダーは「トランプがホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改名するのは12月31日まで?」でわずか4%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ氏、12月31日までにホルムズ海峡を「トランプ海峡」に改称?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。