Recent polling data and economic indicators have stabilized Donald Trump's approval rating near the 38.5–38.9 range as of May 15, with traders assigning near-certainty to that band based on consistent survey trends through early May. Legislative progress on budget measures and border enforcement has offset mixed consumer sentiment readings, while foreign policy announcements produced only marginal shifts in partisan support. The narrow distribution around this level reflects limited volatility in the final days before the measurement date, though late-breaking economic releases or high-profile events could still adjust final aggregates within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日38.5–38.9 100.0%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
$26,183 Vol.
$26,183 Vol.
2026/05/15
<38.0
No
38.0–38.4
No
38.5–38.9
Yes
39.0–39.4
No
39.5–39.9
No
40.0+
No
38.5–38.9 100.0%
<38.0 <1%
38.0–38.4 <1%
39.0–39.4 <1%
$26,183 Vol.
$26,183 Vol.
2026/05/15
<38.0
$3,823 Vol.
No
38.0–38.4
$5,043 Vol.
No
38.5–38.9
$8,095 Vol.
Yes
39.0–39.4
$4,673 Vol.
No
39.5–39.9
$2,651 Vol.
No
40.0+
$1,897 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling data and economic indicators have stabilized Donald Trump's approval rating near the 38.5–38.9 range as of May 15, with traders assigning near-certainty to that band based on consistent survey trends through early May. Legislative progress on budget measures and border enforcement has offset mixed consumer sentiment readings, while foreign policy announcements produced only marginal shifts in partisan support. The narrow distribution around this level reflects limited volatility in the final days before the measurement date, though late-breaking economic releases or high-profile events could still adjust final aggregates within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ET
音量
$26,183終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling data and economic indicators have stabilized Donald Trump's approval rating near the 38.5–38.9 range as of May 15, with traders assigning near-certainty to that band based on consistent survey trends through early May. Legislative progress on budget measures and border enforcement has offset mixed consumer sentiment readings, while foreign policy announcements produced only marginal shifts in partisan support. The narrow distribution around this level reflects limited volatility in the final days before the measurement date, though late-breaking economic releases or high-profile events could still adjust final aggregates within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 15, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$26,183終了日
2026/05/15マーケット開始日
May 8, 2026, 12:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent polling data and economic indicators have stabilized Donald Trump's approval rating near the 38.5–38.9 range as of May 15, with traders assigning near-certainty to that band based on consistent survey trends through early May. Legislative progress on budget measures and border enforcement has offset mixed consumer sentiment readings, while foreign policy announcements produced only marginal shifts in partisan support. The narrow distribution around this level reflects limited volatility in the final days before the measurement date, though late-breaking economic releases or high-profile events could still adjust final aggregates within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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