Trump’s approval rating on August 21, 2026, settled near 38 percent in most polling aggregates because recent surveys showed little movement from the mid-to-high 30s range that had prevailed through July and early August. Ongoing public concern over the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and related economic pressures continued to weigh on overall sentiment, while Republican support remained relatively steady but below earlier levels in the second term. Aggregators including Silver Bulletin, Decision Desk HQ, and VoteHub placed the figure between 37 and 39 percent on that date, producing tight clustering around the 38.0–38.4 band that traders heavily favored. A sudden release of outlier polls or a shift in how the market weights specific surveys could still alter the final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日38.0〜38.4 99.6%
＜37.0 <1%
37.0〜37.4 <1%
37.5～37.9 <1%
$6,074 Vol.
$6,074 Vol.
2026/08/21
＜37.0
いいえ
37.0〜37.4
いいえ
37.5～37.9
いいえ
38.0〜38.4
はい
38.5〜38.9
いいえ
39.0以上
いいえ
38.0〜38.4 99.6%
＜37.0 <1%
37.0〜37.4 <1%
37.5～37.9 <1%
$6,074 Vol.
$6,074 Vol.
2026/08/21
＜37.0
$704 Vol.
いいえ
37.0〜37.4
$433 Vol.
いいえ
37.5～37.9
$1,935 Vol.
いいえ
38.0〜38.4
$1,964 Vol.
はい
38.5〜38.9
$628 Vol.
いいえ
39.0以上
$411 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating on August 21, 2026, settled near 38 percent in most polling aggregates because recent surveys showed little movement from the mid-to-high 30s range that had prevailed through July and early August. Ongoing public concern over the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and related economic pressures continued to weigh on overall sentiment, while Republican support remained relatively steady but below earlier levels in the second term. Aggregators including Silver Bulletin, Decision Desk HQ, and VoteHub placed the figure between 37 and 39 percent on that date, producing tight clustering around the 38.0–38.4 band that traders heavily favored. A sudden release of outlier polls or a shift in how the market weights specific surveys could still alter the final resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ET
音量
$6,074終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trump’s approval rating on August 21, 2026, settled near 38 percent in most polling aggregates because recent surveys showed little movement from the mid-to-high 30s range that had prevailed through July and early August. Ongoing public concern over the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and related economic pressures continued to weigh on overall sentiment, while Republican support remained relatively steady but below earlier levels in the second term. Aggregators including Silver Bulletin, Decision Desk HQ, and VoteHub placed the figure between 37 and 39 percent on that date, producing tight clustering around the 38.0–38.4 band that traders heavily favored. A sudden release of outlier polls or a shift in how the market weights specific surveys could still alter the final resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 21, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
音量
$6,074終了日
2026/08/21マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trump’s approval rating on August 21, 2026, settled near 38 percent in most polling aggregates because recent surveys showed little movement from the mid-to-high 30s range that had prevailed through July and early August. Ongoing public concern over the Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices, and related economic pressures continued to weigh on overall sentiment, while Republican support remained relatively steady but below earlier levels in the second term. Aggregators including Silver Bulletin, Decision Desk HQ, and VoteHub placed the figure between 37 and 39 percent on that date, producing tight clustering around the 38.0–38.4 band that traders heavily favored. A sudden release of outlier polls or a shift in how the market weights specific surveys could still alter the final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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